Wolfsberger AC 3-1 Swarovski Tirol — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Austria - Bundesliga, 18 May 2024

📅18/05/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.0
Draw
24%
3.45
Away
34%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.9
Over 2.5
50%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.73
No
51%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
29%
3.34
2-3 Goals
39%
1.78
4-5 Goals
23%
3.54
6+ Goals
9%
14.0
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.34 — our 29% vs market 24.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
2.79
1/2
8%
34.5
1/X
7%
13.6
X/1
16%
4.51
X/2
14%
7.0
X/X
11%
4.77
2/1
7%
24.85
2/2
11%
5.15
2/X
7%
14.0
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
46%
-4.6pp
25%
Draw
26%
-1.4pp
34%
Away Win
28%
+5.9pp
50%
Under 2.5
49%
+0.9pp
50%
Over 2.5
51%
-0.9pp
49%
BTTS Yes
54%
-4.6pp
51%
BTTS No
46%
+4.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Wolfsberger AC EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Swarovski Tirol EU Bookmakers 31%
-5% / -13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +9% / +4%
1.54/1.31 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.43/1.59
-1% / -4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +28% / -12%
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
301 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 288 · 72%
22.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.6
19.3 Crosses 16.3
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Wolfsberger AC
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Swarovski Tirol
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
1.91 xG 1.07
52% Ball Possession 48%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
324 Passes 281
73% Pass Accuracy 70%
18 Box Touches 20
13 Crosses 18
1 Yellow Cards 2
16.03.2024 Swarovski Tirol Swarovski Tirol 1-1 HT 0-0 Wolfsberger AC Wolfsberger AC AVU
17.02.2024 Wolfsberger AC Wolfsberger AC 4-1 HT 2-0 Swarovski Tirol Swarovski Tirol AVU
23.09.2023 Swarovski Tirol Swarovski Tirol 2-3 HT 0-1 Wolfsberger AC Wolfsberger AC AVU
27.05.2023 Wolfsberger AC Wolfsberger AC 2-0 HT 2-0 Swarovski Tirol Swarovski Tirol AVU
07.04.2023 Swarovski Tirol Swarovski Tirol 4-0 HT 3-0 Wolfsberger AC Wolfsberger AC AVU
11.02.2023 Wolfsberger AC Wolfsberger AC 1-2 HT 0-0 Swarovski Tirol Swarovski Tirol AVU
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Wolfsberger AC
3-1
AWAY Swarovski Tirol
1.36 xG 2.13
46% Ball Possession 54%
9 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 7
260 Passes 324
71% Pass Accuracy 79%
14 Box Touches 22
14 Crosses 24
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Wolfsberger AC vs Swarovski Tirol
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Wolfsberger AC beat Swarovski Tirol 3-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Wolfsberger AC as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Wolfsberger AC had 46% of the ball to Swarovski Tirol's 54%, shots finished 9-12, expected goals 1.36 to 2.13 — the balance of chances actually favoured Swarovski Tirol.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Wolfsberger AC had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Wolfsberger AC and 1.67 for Swarovski Tirol.

What was the final score of Wolfsberger AC vs Swarovski Tirol?

Wolfsberger AC 3-1 Swarovski Tirol in the Austria - Bundesliga on 18/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Wolfsberger AC vs Swarovski Tirol?

Before kick-off our model rated a Wolfsberger AC win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Wolfsberger AC 42%, draw 25%, Swarovski Tirol 34%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Wolfsberger AC) — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Wolfsberger AC) ✗ BTTS No
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