Persib Bandung 3-0 Bali United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Indonesia League 1, 18 May 2024

📅18/05/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
1.72
Draw
24%
3.64
Away
30%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.97
Over 2.5
47%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.75
No
50%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
26%
3.61
2-3 Goals
50%
1.81
4-5 Goals
17%
3.34
6+ Goals
7%
12.05
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.61 — our 26% vs market 22.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
4%
1/X
8%
X/1
18%
X/2
13%
X/X
12%
2/1
7%
2/2
13%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
54%
-8.8pp
24%
Draw
24%
-0.5pp
31%
Away Win
21%
+9.3pp
53%
Under 2.5
47%
+6.6pp
47%
Over 2.5
53%
-6.6pp
50%
BTTS Yes
53%
-3.4pp
50%
BTTS No
47%
+3.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Persib Bandung EU Bookmakers 58%
Head to Head
AWAY Bali United EU Bookmakers 24%
+7% / +8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
1.69/0.78 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.96/2.12
-6% / +35% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +95% / -28%
54% Ball Possession 46%
10 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
344 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 262 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Persib Bandung
0W-3D-3L
AWAY Bali United
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
55% Ball Possession 45%
9 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 6
277 Passes 244
14.05.2024 Bali United Bali United 1-1 HT 0-0 Persib Bandung Persib Bandung ENDL1
10.02.2023 Bali United Bali United 1-1 HT 0-0 Persib Bandung Persib Bandung ENDL1
23.08.2022 Persib Bandung Persib Bandung 2-3 HT 0-2 Bali United Bali United ENDL1
13.01.2022 Persib Bandung Persib Bandung 0-1 HT 0-1 Bali United Bali United ENDL1
18.09.2021 Bali United Bali United 2-2 HT 1-1 Persib Bandung Persib Bandung ENDL1
28.11.2019 Bali United Bali United 3-2 HT 0-1 Persib Bandung Persib Bandung ENDL1
POST-MATCH Persib Bandung vs Bali United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Persib Bandung ran out comfortable winners over Bali United 3-0. Half-time: 2-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Persib Bandung as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Bali United led the recent series with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Persib Bandung and 1.83 for Bali United.

What was the final score of Persib Bandung vs Bali United?

Persib Bandung 3-0 Bali United in the Indonesia League 1 on 18/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Persib Bandung vs Bali United?

Before kick-off our model rated a Persib Bandung win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Persib Bandung 46%, draw 24%, Bali United 31%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Persib Bandung) — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Persib Bandung) ✗ Under 2.5
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