Samgurali 4-0 Samtredia — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Georgia - Erovnuli Liga, 18 May 2024

📅18/05/2024 · 🕒15:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
56%
1.45
Draw
20%
4.19
Away
24%
5.64
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.03
Over 2.5
55%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.9
No
46%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
38%
1/2
5%
1/X
4%
X/1
11%
X/2
8%
X/X
12%
2/1
7%
2/2
11%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Over 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
56%
Home Win
65%
-9.0pp
20%
Draw
21%
-0.3pp
24%
Away Win
15%
+9.3pp
45%
Under 2.5
45%
-0.4pp
55%
Over 2.5
55%
+0.4pp
54%
BTTS Yes
49%
+5.5pp
46%
BTTS No
51%
-5.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Samgurali EU Bookmakers 69%
Head to Head
AWAY Samtredia EU Bookmakers 18%
-1% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / +7%
1.72/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.79/1.63
-16% / -12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -14% / +17%
55% Ball Possession 45%
16 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
372 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 254 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.8 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Samgurali
4W-0D-2L
AWAY Samtredia
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
58% Ball Possession 42%
16 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 3
3 Yellow Cards 2
03.04.2024 Samtredia Samtredia 2-0 HT 2-0 Samgurali Samgurali GUR
02.12.2023 Samtredia Samtredia 2-3 HT 2-1 Samgurali Samgurali GUR
28.09.2023 Samgurali Samgurali 0-3 HT 0-2 Samtredia Samtredia GUR
01.06.2023 Samtredia Samtredia 0-2 HT 0-0 Samgurali Samgurali GUR
22.04.2023 Samgurali Samgurali 2-1 HT 0-0 Samtredia Samtredia GUR
07.11.2021 Samtredia Samtredia 1-2 HT 0-0 Samgurali Samgurali GUR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Samgurali
4-0
AWAY Samtredia
59% Ball Possession 41%
12 Total Shots 10
8 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 0
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Samgurali vs Samtredia
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Samgurali swept aside Samtredia 4-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Samgurali as the likeliest winner at 56%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (55%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Samgurali had 59% of the ball to Samtredia's 41%, shots finished 12-10.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Samgurali had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Samgurali and 1.50 for Samtredia.

What was the final score of Samgurali vs Samtredia?

Samgurali 4-0 Samtredia in the Georgia - Erovnuli Liga on 18/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Samgurali vs Samtredia?

Before kick-off our model rated a Samgurali win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split Samgurali 56%, draw 20%, Samtredia 24%. The final score 4-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Samgurali), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Samgurali) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
GUR More Georgia - Erovnuli Liga
18 May 2024
19:00 Dila Gori vs Dinamo Tbilisi Analysis →