Avispa Fukuoka 0-3 Cerezo Osaka — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - J1 League, 18 May 2024

📅18/05/2024 · 🕒10:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.46
Draw
29%
2.94
Away
33%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
1.48
Over 2.5
39%
2.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
2.13
No
55%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
35%
2.16
2-3 Goals
41%
1.81
4-5 Goals
16%
5.81
6+ Goals
8%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
3.84
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
6%
14.55
X/1
16%
4.95
X/2
15%
5.52
X/X
15%
3.5
2/1
9%
34.5
2/2
13%
4.48
2/X
7%
14.65
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
37%
+0.5pp
29%
Draw
31%
-1.9pp
34%
Away Win
32%
+1.2pp
61%
Under 2.5
64%
-3.4pp
39%
Over 2.5
36%
+3.4pp
45%
BTTS Yes
43%
+2.1pp
55%
BTTS No
57%
-2.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Avispa Fukuoka EU Bookmakers 41%
Head to Head
AWAY Cerezo Osaka EU Bookmakers 36%
+5% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +4%
1.05/0.86 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.03/1.28
-18% / +27% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -12% / +26%
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
364 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 300 · 74%
20.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.8
19.1 Crosses 16.8
1.5 Yellow Cards 0.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Avispa Fukuoka
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Cerezo Osaka
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
0.77 xG 0.96
38% Ball Possession 62%
9 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
221 Passes 426
69% Pass Accuracy 82%
18 Box Touches 22
19 Crosses 23
2 Yellow Cards 0
30.06.2023 Cerezo Osaka Cerezo Osaka 0-1 HT 0-1 Avispa Fukuoka Avispa Fukuoka JAP
25.02.2023 Avispa Fukuoka Avispa Fukuoka 2-1 HT 0-0 Cerezo Osaka Cerezo Osaka JAP
30.07.2022 Cerezo Osaka Cerezo Osaka 2-0 HT 1-0 Avispa Fukuoka Avispa Fukuoka JAP
17.04.2022 Avispa Fukuoka Avispa Fukuoka 0-0 HT 0-0 Cerezo Osaka Cerezo Osaka JAP
15.08.2021 Avispa Fukuoka Avispa Fukuoka 2-1 HT 1-1 Cerezo Osaka Cerezo Osaka JAP
10.04.2021 Cerezo Osaka Cerezo Osaka 2-2 HT 0-0 Avispa Fukuoka Avispa Fukuoka JAP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Avispa Fukuoka
0-3
AWAY Cerezo Osaka
50% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 12
1 Shots on Target 7
3 Corners 4
POST-MATCH Avispa Fukuoka vs Cerezo Osaka
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Cerezo Osaka ran out comfortable winners over Avispa Fukuoka 3-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

We called this one close before kick-off — 38% / 29% / 34% — and on the day Cerezo Osaka made the difference. On goals, no to both teams scoring (55%) landed while under 2.5 goals (61%) missed.

On the day, Avispa Fukuoka had 50% of the ball to Cerezo Osaka's 50%, shots finished 10-12.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Avispa Fukuoka had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Avispa Fukuoka and 1.00 for Cerezo Osaka.

What was the final score of Avispa Fukuoka vs Cerezo Osaka?

Avispa Fukuoka 0-3 Cerezo Osaka in the Japan - J1 League on 18/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Avispa Fukuoka vs Cerezo Osaka?

Before kick-off our model rated a Avispa Fukuoka win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Avispa Fukuoka 38%, draw 29%, Cerezo Osaka 34%. The final score 0-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS No — while Match Result (Avispa Fukuoka), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Avispa Fukuoka) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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