Al Duhail SC 0-1 Al Sadd — Result, Statistics & Match Review — KATEK, 18 May 2024

📅18/05/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-3 2nd Score 1-3
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
19%
3.17
Draw
17%
3.8
Away
64%
1.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
41%
2.96
Over 2.5
59%
1.36
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.38
No
52%
2.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
18%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
30%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
5%
X/2
10%
X/X
3%
2/1
5%
2/2
47%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
19%
Home Win
28%
-8.5pp
17%
Draw
23%
-5.7pp
63%
Away Win
49%
+14.2pp
41%
Under 2.5
30%
+10.8pp
59%
Over 2.5
70%
-10.8pp
48%
BTTS Yes
68%
-20.1pp
52%
BTTS No
32%
+20.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Duhail SC EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Sadd EU Bookmakers 54%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
49% Ball Possession 51%
13 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 4
373 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 376 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Al Duhail SC
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Al Sadd
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
2.06 xG 1.68
52% Ball Possession 48%
16 Total Shots 14
6 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 3
395 Passes 352
84% Pass Accuracy 82%
22 Box Touches 26
15 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 1
05.04.2024 Al Duhail SC Al Duhail SC 3-1 HT 1-1 Al Sadd Al Sadd KAT
13.12.2023 Al Sadd Al Sadd 3-1 HT 0-1 Al Duhail SC Al Duhail SC KAT
04.05.2023 Al Duhail SC Al Duhail SC 1-3 HT 0-1 Al Sadd Al Sadd KAT
06.04.2023 Al Sadd Al Sadd 0-2 HT 0-0 Al Duhail SC Al Duhail SC KATVPK
23.03.2023 Al Duhail SC Al Duhail SC 3-1 HT 1-1 Al Sadd Al Sadd KATYK
12.03.2023 Al Sadd Al Sadd 2-2 HT 1-0 Al Duhail SC Al Duhail SC KAT
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Al Duhail SC
0-1
AWAY Al Sadd
1.44 xG 0.81
54% Ball Possession 46%
11 Total Shots 10
2 Shots on Target 2
9 Corners 4
330 Passes 283
78% Pass Accuracy 76%
23 Box Touches 14
23 Crosses 7
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Al Duhail SC vs Al Sadd
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Sadd squeezed past Al Duhail SC 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Al Sadd as the likeliest winner at 63%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (59%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Al Duhail SC had 54% of the ball to Al Sadd's 46%, shots finished 11-10, expected goals 1.44 to 0.81 — on chances, Al Duhail SC could feel hard done by.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Al Duhail SC had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Al Duhail SC and 1.67 for Al Sadd.

What was the final score of Al Duhail SC vs Al Sadd?

Al Duhail SC 0-1 Al Sadd in the KATEK on 18/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Duhail SC vs Al Sadd?

Before kick-off our model rated an Al Sadd win the most likely single outcome at about 63%, with the full match-result split Al Duhail SC 19%, draw 17%, Al Sadd 63%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Al Sadd), BTTS No — while Over 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Al Sadd) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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