Club Olimpia 2-1 Club Guarani — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Paraguay - Profesyonel League, 18 May 2024

📅18/05/2024 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.09
Draw
25%
3.28
Away
36%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.71
Over 2.5
49%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.85
No
52%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
14%
X/2
12%
X/X
12%
2/1
6%
2/2
19%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
44%
-4.5pp
25%
Draw
27%
-2.2pp
36%
Away Win
29%
+6.6pp
51%
Under 2.5
55%
-3.4pp
49%
Over 2.5
45%
+3.4pp
48%
BTTS Yes
50%
-1.6pp
52%
BTTS No
50%
+1.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Club Olimpia EU Bookmakers 48%
Head to Head
AWAY Club Guarani EU Bookmakers 32%
+2% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +9% / +15%
1.67/1.07 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/0.91
+27% / -13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -11% / +32%
54% Ball Possession 46%
15 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
376 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 213 · 68%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.5 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Club Olimpia
4W-0D-2L
AWAY Club Guarani
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
49% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
3 Yellow Cards 3
26.02.2024 Club Guarani Club Guarani 1-3 HT 0-1 Club Olimpia Club Olimpia PAR
25.10.2023 Club Guarani Club Guarani 0-1 HT 0-1 Club Olimpia Club Olimpia PAR
06.08.2023 Club Olimpia Club Olimpia 5-3 HT 3-1 Club Guarani Club Guarani PAR
03.06.2023 Club Guarani Club Guarani 1-2 HT 1-1 Club Olimpia Club Olimpia PAR
01.04.2023 Club Olimpia Club Olimpia 0-1 HT 0-0 Club Guarani Club Guarani PAR
20.09.2022 Club Guarani Club Guarani 2-1 HT 0-1 Club Olimpia Club Olimpia PAR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Club Olimpia
2-1
AWAY Club Guarani
42% Ball Possession 58%
15 Total Shots 15
7 Shots on Target 5
8 Corners 4
6 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Club Olimpia vs Club Guarani
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Club Olimpia nicked a narrow win over Club Guarani 2-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match split (40% / 25% / 36%) promised a tight game; Club Olimpia found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Club Olimpia had 42% of the ball to Club Guarani's 58%, shots finished 15-15.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Club Olimpia had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Club Olimpia and 1.33 for Club Guarani.

What was the final score of Club Olimpia vs Club Guarani?

Club Olimpia 2-1 Club Guarani in the Paraguay - Profesyonel League on 18/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Club Olimpia vs Club Guarani?

Before kick-off our model rated a Club Olimpia win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Club Olimpia 40%, draw 25%, Club Guarani 36%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Club Olimpia) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Club Olimpia) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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