Korona Kielce 2-0 Ruch Chorzow — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Poland - Ekstraklasa, 18 May 2024

Korona Kielce
2-0 HT 1-0
Ruch Chorzow
📅18/05/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 2-2 ✗
Poland - Ekstraklasa – 2023/2024

Korona Kielce vs Ruch Chorzow Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
53%
1.75
Draw
24%
3.72
Away
23%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.29
Over 2.5
55%
1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.56
No
47%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
4.78
2-3 Goals
38%
1.92
4-5 Goals
24%
2.82
6+ Goals
12%
7.73
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
17%
X/2
9%
X/X
13%
2/1
8%
2/2
9%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
53%
Home Win
53%
-0.4pp
24%
Draw
24%
+0.2pp
23%
Away Win
23%
+0.2pp
45%
Under 2.5
40%
+4.8pp
55%
Over 2.5
60%
-4.8pp
53%
BTTS Yes
60%
-7.4pp
47%
BTTS No
40%
+7.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Korona Kielce v Ruch Chorzow — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Korona Kielce EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Ruch Chorzow EU Bookmakers 26%
+12% / +12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / -10%
1.22/0.72 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.01/1.71
+19% / -7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +8% / -6%
54% Ball Possession 46%
16 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
402 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 230 · 71%
20.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.2
16.0 Crosses 20.6
2.7 Yellow Cards 2.7

Korona Kielce vs Ruch Chorzow Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Korona Kielce
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Ruch Chorzow
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
1.68 xG 1.49
53% Ball Possession 47%
17 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 6
352 Passes 203
79% Pass Accuracy 67%
33 Box Touches 23
22 Crosses 22
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
26.11.2023 Ruch Chorzow Ruch Chorzow 1-1 HT 0-0 Korona Kielce Korona Kielce POL
10.04.2017 Korona Kielce Korona Kielce 1-0 HT 0-0 Ruch Chorzow Ruch Chorzow POL
24.10.2016 Ruch Chorzow Ruch Chorzow 4-0 HT 1-0 Korona Kielce Korona Kielce POL
01.12.2015 Ruch Chorzow Ruch Chorzow 2-1 HT 1-0 Korona Kielce Korona Kielce POL
03.08.2015 Korona Kielce Korona Kielce 1-2 HT 1-1 Ruch Chorzow Ruch Chorzow POL
08.05.2015 Korona Kielce Korona Kielce 0-2 HT 0-1 Ruch Chorzow Ruch Chorzow POL

Korona Kielce 2-0 Ruch Chorzow — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Korona Kielce
2-0
AWAY Ruch Chorzow
2.67 xG 0.50
47% Ball Possession 53%
26 Total Shots 7
4 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 4
221 Passes 265
72% Pass Accuracy 73%
30 Box Touches 8
25 Crosses 13
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Korona Kielce vs Ruch Chorzow
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Korona Kielce saw off Ruch Chorzow 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Korona Kielce as the likeliest winner at 53%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Korona Kielce had 47% of the ball to Ruch Chorzow's 53%, shots finished 26-7, expected goals 2.67 to 0.50.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Ruch Chorzow led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Korona Kielce and 1.83 for Ruch Chorzow.

What was the final score of Korona Kielce vs Ruch Chorzow?

Korona Kielce 2-0 Ruch Chorzow in the Poland - Ekstraklasa on 18/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Korona Kielce vs Ruch Chorzow?

Before kick-off our model rated a Korona Kielce win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Korona Kielce 53%, draw 24%, Ruch Chorzow 23%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Korona Kielce) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Korona Kielce) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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