Piast Gliwice 1-1 Jagiellonia Bialystok — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Poland - Ekstraklasa, 18 May 2024

📅18/05/2024 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.47
Draw
27%
3.45
Away
36%
2.39
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.07
Over 2.5
52%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.6
No
48%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
3.93
2-3 Goals
41%
1.84
4-5 Goals
23%
3.15
6+ Goals
11%
10.45
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
9%
1/X
7%
X/1
15%
X/2
11%
X/X
14%
2/1
9%
2/2
16%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
37%
+0.2pp
27%
Draw
25%
+1.7pp
36%
Away Win
38%
-1.9pp
48%
Under 2.5
44%
+3.5pp
52%
Over 2.5
56%
-3.5pp
52%
BTTS Yes
58%
-6.6pp
48%
BTTS No
42%
+6.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Piast Gliwice EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Jagiellonia Bialystok EU Bookmakers 42%
+4% / +10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +9% / +14%
1.41/0.86 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.77/1.65
-12% / +34% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +50% / -14%
49% Ball Possession 51%
13 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
387 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 336 · 79%
20.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 23.5
20.3 Crosses 13.7
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Piast Gliwice
2W-3D-1L
AWAY Jagiellonia Bialystok
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.68 xG 1.42
50% Ball Possession 50%
15 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
313 Passes 322
76% Pass Accuracy 75%
20 Box Touches 18
22 Crosses 18
1 Yellow Cards 3
24.11.2023 Jagiellonia Bialystok Jagiellonia Bialystok 0-0 HT 0-0 Piast Gliwice Piast Gliwice POL
29.01.2023 Piast Gliwice Piast Gliwice 1-1 HT 0-0 Jagiellonia Bialystok Jagiellonia Bialystok POL
16.07.2022 Jagiellonia Bialystok Jagiellonia Bialystok 2-0 HT 1-0 Piast Gliwice Piast Gliwice POL
23.04.2022 Piast Gliwice Piast Gliwice 2-1 HT 0-0 Jagiellonia Bialystok Jagiellonia Bialystok POL
30.10.2021 Jagiellonia Bialystok Jagiellonia Bialystok 3-3 HT 0-2 Piast Gliwice Piast Gliwice POL
27.02.2021 Jagiellonia Bialystok Jagiellonia Bialystok 0-1 HT 0-0 Piast Gliwice Piast Gliwice POL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Piast Gliwice
1-1
AWAY Jagiellonia Bialystok
0.27 xG 0.76
47% Ball Possession 53%
9 Total Shots 11
1 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
387 Passes 442
84% Pass Accuracy 83%
13 Box Touches 19
16 Crosses 15
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Piast Gliwice vs Jagiellonia Bialystok
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Piast Gliwice and Jagiellonia Bialystok shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 37% / 27% / 36% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Piast Gliwice had 47% of the ball to Jagiellonia Bialystok's 53%, shots finished 9-11, expected goals 0.27 to 0.76.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Piast Gliwice had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Piast Gliwice and 1.17 for Jagiellonia Bialystok.

What was the final score of Piast Gliwice vs Jagiellonia Bialystok?

Piast Gliwice 1-1 Jagiellonia Bialystok in the Poland - Ekstraklasa on 18/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Piast Gliwice vs Jagiellonia Bialystok?

Before kick-off our model rated a Piast Gliwice win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Piast Gliwice 37%, draw 27%, Jagiellonia Bialystok 36%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Piast Gliwice), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Piast Gliwice) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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