IMT Novi Beograd 2-1 Vozdovac — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Serbia - Super League, 18 May 2024

📅18/05/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
1.92
Draw
25%
3.54
Away
29%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.97
Over 2.5
49%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.68
No
52%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
7%
1/X
8%
X/1
14%
X/2
11%
X/X
8%
2/1
7%
2/2
11%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
48%
-2.2pp
25%
Draw
25%
+0.3pp
29%
Away Win
27%
+1.9pp
51%
Under 2.5
47%
+4.5pp
49%
Over 2.5
53%
-4.6pp
48%
BTTS Yes
56%
-7.1pp
52%
BTTS No
44%
+7.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME IMT Novi Beograd EU Bookmakers 52%
Head to Head
AWAY Vozdovac EU Bookmakers 31%
-19% / -19% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / -8%
1.56/0.89 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.15/1.23
-44% / +11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -9% / -6%
49% Ball Possession 51%
14 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
280 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 321 · 76%
28.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.9
25.0 Crosses 13.9
2.4 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME IMT Novi Beograd
0W-1D-1L
AWAY Vozdovac
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
1.01 xG 1.22
50% Ball Possession 50%
14 Total Shots 6
3 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 2
278 Passes 302
76% Pass Accuracy 78%
20 Box Touches 14
22 Crosses 14
3 Yellow Cards 2
02.12.2023 Vozdovac Vozdovac 4-0 HT 2-0 IMT Novi Beograd IMT Novi Beograd SIRP
06.08.2023 IMT Novi Beograd IMT Novi Beograd 2-2 HT 0-0 Vozdovac Vozdovac SIRP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME IMT Novi Beograd
2-1
AWAY Vozdovac
2.72 xG 0.67
42% Ball Possession 58%
14 Total Shots 11
7 Shots on Target 2
2 Corners 7
247 Passes 372
75% Pass Accuracy 82%
26 Box Touches 15
15 Crosses 27
4 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH IMT Novi Beograd vs Vozdovac
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

IMT Novi Beograd squeezed past Vozdovac 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had IMT Novi Beograd as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, IMT Novi Beograd had 42% of the ball to Vozdovac's 58%, shots finished 14-11, expected goals 2.72 to 0.67 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold IMT Novi Beograd's control.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Vozdovac led the recent series with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for IMT Novi Beograd and 3.00 for Vozdovac.

What was the final score of IMT Novi Beograd vs Vozdovac?

IMT Novi Beograd 2-1 Vozdovac in the Serbia - Super League on 18/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for IMT Novi Beograd vs Vozdovac?

Before kick-off our model rated a IMT Novi Beograd win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split IMT Novi Beograd 46%, draw 25%, Vozdovac 29%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (IMT Novi Beograd) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (IMT Novi Beograd) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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