Zilina 2-3 Dunajska Streda — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Slovakia Super League, 18 May 2024

📅18/05/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.38
Draw
26%
3.35
Away
33%
2.54
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.91
Over 2.5
49%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.66
No
53%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
29%
3.52
2-3 Goals
38%
1.8
4-5 Goals
23%
3.4
6+ Goals
10%
12.6
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.52 — our 29% vs market 23.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
10%
1/X
7%
X/1
11%
X/2
10%
X/X
13%
2/1
8%
2/2
13%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
38%
+2.7pp
26%
Draw
26%
-0.2pp
33%
Away Win
36%
-2.5pp
51%
Under 2.5
48%
+2.6pp
49%
Over 2.5
52%
-2.6pp
47%
BTTS Yes
56%
-8.9pp
53%
BTTS No
44%
+8.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Zilina EU Bookmakers 42%
Head to Head
AWAY Dunajska Streda EU Bookmakers 39%
+12% / +10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +2%
1.54/1.30 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.11/1.19
+58% / -21% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -17% / -1%
51% Ball Possession 49%
14 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
327 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 310 · 74%
27.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.3
10.9 Crosses 16.2
1.7 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Zilina
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Dunajska Streda
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
1.34 xG 1.18
53% Ball Possession 46%
18 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 4
376 Passes 306
82% Pass Accuracy 78%
24 Box Touches 22
11 Crosses 17
1 Yellow Cards 2
16.03.2024 Dunajska Streda Dunajska Streda 2-1 HT 0-0 Zilina Zilina SLVK
02.03.2024 Dunajska Streda Dunajska Streda 1-1 HT 0-1 Zilina Zilina SLVK
21.10.2023 Zilina Zilina 5-1 HT 3-1 Dunajska Streda Dunajska Streda SLVK
13.05.2023 Zilina Zilina 0-1 HT 0-0 Dunajska Streda Dunajska Streda SLVK
02.04.2023 Dunajska Streda Dunajska Streda 1-0 HT 1-0 Zilina Zilina SLVK
09.10.2022 Dunajska Streda Dunajska Streda 5-2 HT 2-1 Zilina Zilina SLVK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Zilina
2-3
AWAY Dunajska Streda
1.42 xG 1.90
62% Ball Possession 38%
14 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 7
2 Corners 3
383 Passes 201
84% Pass Accuracy 72%
23 Box Touches 10
13 Crosses 11
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Zilina vs Dunajska Streda
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Dunajska Streda nicked a narrow win over Zilina 3-2 away from home. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Zilina at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, Zilina had 62% of the ball to Dunajska Streda's 38%, shots finished 14-14, expected goals 1.42 to 1.90.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Dunajska Streda led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Zilina and 1.83 for Dunajska Streda.

What was the final score of Zilina vs Dunajska Streda?

Zilina 2-3 Dunajska Streda in the Slovakia Super League on 18/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Zilina vs Dunajska Streda?

Before kick-off our model rated a Zilina win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Zilina 41%, draw 26%, Dunajska Streda 33%. The final score 2-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Zilina) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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