Dunajska Streda 2-1 Zilina — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Slovakia Super League, 16 Mar 2024

📅16/03/2024 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.0
Draw
28%
3.45
Away
34%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.91
Over 2.5
47%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.7
No
52%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
30%
3.49
2-3 Goals
39%
1.8
4-5 Goals
21%
3.42
6+ Goals
10%
12.85
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.49 — our 30% vs market 23.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
8%
X/2
14%
X/X
14%
2/1
9%
2/2
13%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ Under 2.5 ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
46%
-8.2pp
28%
Draw
26%
+1.9pp
34%
Away Win
28%
+6.3pp
53%
Under 2.5
48%
+4.5pp
47%
Over 2.5
52%
-4.5pp
48%
BTTS Yes
55%
-6.7pp
52%
BTTS No
45%
+6.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Dunajska Streda EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Zilina EU Bookmakers 31%
+5% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / +2%
1.28/1.18 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.04/1.60
-2% / +8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +3% / -9%
50% Ball Possession 50%
15 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
336 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 313 · 76%
22.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.0
17.2 Crosses 11.4
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Dunajska Streda
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Zilina
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.31 xG 1.44
49% Ball Possession 51%
14 Total Shots 18
6 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
322 Passes 355
79% Pass Accuracy 81%
24 Box Touches 24
19 Crosses 10
2 Yellow Cards 1
02.03.2024 Dunajska Streda Dunajska Streda 1-1 HT 0-1 Zilina Zilina SLVK
21.10.2023 Zilina Zilina 5-1 HT 3-1 Dunajska Streda Dunajska Streda SLVK
13.05.2023 Zilina Zilina 0-1 HT 0-0 Dunajska Streda Dunajska Streda SLVK
02.04.2023 Dunajska Streda Dunajska Streda 1-0 HT 1-0 Zilina Zilina SLVK
09.10.2022 Dunajska Streda Dunajska Streda 5-2 HT 2-1 Zilina Zilina SLVK
24.07.2022 Zilina Zilina 1-1 HT 1-0 Dunajska Streda Dunajska Streda SLVK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Dunajska Streda
2-1
AWAY Zilina
1.35 xG 1.23
34% Ball Possession 66%
16 Total Shots 19
5 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 7
156 Passes 397
68% Pass Accuracy 85%
25 Box Touches 26
14 Crosses 13
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Dunajska Streda vs Zilina
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Dunajska Streda edged past Zilina 2-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 38% / 28% / 34% — and on the day Dunajska Streda made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Dunajska Streda had 34% of the ball to Zilina's 66%, shots finished 16-19, expected goals 1.35 to 1.23.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Dunajska Streda had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Dunajska Streda and 1.50 for Zilina.

What was the final score of Dunajska Streda vs Zilina?

Dunajska Streda 2-1 Zilina in the Slovakia Super League on 16/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Dunajska Streda vs Zilina?

Before kick-off our model rated a Dunajska Streda win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Dunajska Streda 38%, draw 28%, Zilina 34%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Dunajska Streda) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Dunajska Streda) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
SLVK More Slovakia Super League
16 Mar 2024
17:00 Podbrezova vs Ruzomberok Analysis →
17:00 Trencin vs Skalica Analysis →
17:00 Dukla Banska Bystrica vs Zlate Moravce Analysis →