Trencin 1-3 Skalica — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Slovakia Super League, 16 Mar 2024

📅16/03/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
59%
1.47
Draw
23%
4.08
Away
18%
5.64
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
1.86
Over 2.5
51%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
2.03
No
57%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
3.22
2-3 Goals
45%
1.78
4-5 Goals
22%
3.64
6+ Goals
9%
14.95
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
37%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
15%
X/2
6%
X/X
11%
2/1
6%
2/2
7%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ BTTS No ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
58%
Home Win
64%
-5.4pp
23%
Draw
21%
+1.9pp
18%
Away Win
15%
+3.5pp
49%
Under 2.5
50%
-1.0pp
51%
Over 2.5
50%
+1.0pp
43%
BTTS Yes
45%
-2.3pp
57%
BTTS No
55%
+2.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Trencin EU Bookmakers 68%
Head to Head
AWAY Skalica EU Bookmakers 18%
-3% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -8% / -9%
2.09/0.88 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.74/1.70
+20% / -26% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +28% / -9%
57% Ball Possession 43%
15 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
376 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 239 · 70%
31.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.2
23.0 Crosses 15.1
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Trencin
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Skalica
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
1.16 xG 0.96
63% Ball Possession 36%
16 Total Shots 7
4 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 5
373 Passes 157
80% Pass Accuracy 60%
23 Box Touches 13
24 Crosses 13
2 Yellow Cards 2
02.03.2024 Skalica Skalica 0-0 HT 0-0 Trencin Trencin SLVK
21.10.2023 Trencin Trencin 0-0 HT 0-0 Skalica Skalica SLVK
18.03.2023 Skalica Skalica 2-0 HT 2-0 Trencin Trencin SLVK
15.10.2022 Trencin Trencin 3-1 HT 0-0 Skalica Skalica SLVK
30.07.2022 Skalica Skalica 2-0 HT 1-0 Trencin Trencin SLVK
15.03.2022 Trencin Trencin 2-0 HT 0-0 Skalica Skalica SLOVK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Trencin
1-3
AWAY Skalica
1.38 xG 0.85
69% Ball Possession 31%
21 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 3
422 Passes 134
82% Pass Accuracy 58%
31 Box Touches 12
24 Crosses 11
4 Yellow Cards 6
POST-MATCH Trencin vs Skalica
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Skalica saw off Trencin 3-1 away from home.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Trencin at 58% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Trencin had 69% of the ball to Skalica's 31%, shots finished 21-9, expected goals 1.38 to 0.85 — the balance of chances actually favoured Trencin.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Trencin and 0.83 for Skalica.

What was the final score of Trencin vs Skalica?

Trencin 1-3 Skalica in the Slovakia Super League on 16/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Trencin vs Skalica?

Before kick-off our model rated a Trencin win the most likely single outcome at about 58%, with the full match-result split Trencin 58%, draw 23%, Skalica 18%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (Trencin), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Trencin) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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