Podbrezova 0-2 Ruzomberok — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Slovakia Super League, 16 Mar 2024

📅16/03/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.75
Draw
24%
3.54
Away
28%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.97
Over 2.5
49%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.73
No
50%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
27%
3.6
2-3 Goals
37%
1.81
4-5 Goals
23%
3.34
6+ Goals
13%
12.15
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.6 — our 27% vs market 22.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
22%
X/2
8%
X/X
13%
2/1
6%
2/2
14%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
53%
-4.8pp
24%
Draw
25%
-0.6pp
28%
Away Win
23%
+5.3pp
51%
Under 2.5
47%
+3.8pp
49%
Over 2.5
53%
-3.8pp
50%
BTTS Yes
54%
-3.9pp
50%
BTTS No
46%
+3.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Podbrezova EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Ruzomberok EU Bookmakers 26%
+4% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +10% / +5%
1.80/0.95 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.26/1.46
+10% / +16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +13% / +23%
51% Ball Possession 49%
15 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
304 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 222 · 65%
34.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.9
18.1 Crosses 16.8
1.4 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Podbrezova
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Ruzomberok
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
1.32 xG 1.37
59% Ball Possession 41%
13 Total Shots 14
6 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 4
363 Passes 184
76% Pass Accuracy 64%
25 Box Touches 20
18 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 3
02.03.2024 Ruzomberok Ruzomberok 2-1 HT 1-0 Podbrezova Podbrezova SLVK
21.10.2023 Podbrezova Podbrezova 5-0 HT 4-0 Ruzomberok Ruzomberok SLVK
23.05.2023 Podbrezova Podbrezova 0-3 HT 0-3 Ruzomberok Ruzomberok SLVK
07.10.2022 Podbrezova Podbrezova 0-2 HT 0-1 Ruzomberok Ruzomberok SLVK
24.07.2022 Ruzomberok Ruzomberok 2-2 HT 1-1 Podbrezova Podbrezova SLVK
05.12.2015 Ruzomberok Ruzomberok 3-2 HT 1-0 Podbrezova Podbrezova SLVK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Podbrezova
0-2
AWAY Ruzomberok
1.20 xG 1.85
64% Ball Possession 36%
18 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 2
10 Corners 4
480 Passes 215
82% Pass Accuracy 67%
34 Box Touches 16
23 Crosses 12
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Podbrezova vs Ruzomberok
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ruzomberok saw off Podbrezova 2-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Podbrezova at 48%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Podbrezova had 64% of the ball to Ruzomberok's 36%, shots finished 18-11, expected goals 1.20 to 1.85.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Ruzomberok led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Podbrezova and 2.00 for Ruzomberok.

What was the final score of Podbrezova vs Ruzomberok?

Podbrezova 0-2 Ruzomberok in the Slovakia Super League on 16/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Podbrezova vs Ruzomberok?

Before kick-off our model rated a Podbrezova win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Podbrezova 48%, draw 24%, Ruzomberok 28%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Podbrezova) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Podbrezova) ✓ Under 2.5
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