Ruzomberok 2-1 Podbrezova — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Slovakia Super League, 2 Mar 2024

📅02/03/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
30%
2.67
Draw
29%
3.35
Away
41%
2.24
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.91
Over 2.5
45%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.68
No
50%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
31%
3.44
2-3 Goals
38%
1.79
4-5 Goals
21%
3.46
6+ Goals
10%
13.25
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.44 — our 31% vs market 23.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
5%
1/X
11%
X/1
9%
X/2
12%
X/X
8%
2/1
7%
2/2
24%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
30%
Home Win
34%
-3.8pp
29%
Draw
26%
+3.1pp
41%
Away Win
40%
+0.6pp
55%
Under 2.5
48%
+6.4pp
45%
Over 2.5
52%
-6.4pp
50%
BTTS Yes
56%
-5.9pp
50%
BTTS No
44%
+5.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ruzomberok EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Podbrezova EU Bookmakers 45%
+8% / +14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -13% / -13%
0.82/1.34 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.11/1.51
+15% / +26% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -12% / -27%
48% Ball Possession 52%
13 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
299 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 352 · 77%
16.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.2
15.0 Crosses 9.8
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ruzomberok
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Podbrezova
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.55 xG 1.50
44% Ball Possession 56%
14 Total Shots 14
6 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 5
192 Passes 346
64% Pass Accuracy 74%
22 Box Touches 26
14 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 2
21.10.2023 Podbrezova Podbrezova 5-0 HT 4-0 Ruzomberok Ruzomberok SLVK
23.05.2023 Podbrezova Podbrezova 0-3 HT 0-3 Ruzomberok Ruzomberok SLVK
07.10.2022 Podbrezova Podbrezova 0-2 HT 0-1 Ruzomberok Ruzomberok SLVK
24.07.2022 Ruzomberok Ruzomberok 2-2 HT 1-1 Podbrezova Podbrezova SLVK
05.12.2015 Ruzomberok Ruzomberok 3-2 HT 1-0 Podbrezova Podbrezova SLVK
12.09.2015 Podbrezova Podbrezova 0-1 HT 0-1 Ruzomberok Ruzomberok SLVK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Ruzomberok
2-1
AWAY Podbrezova
0.68 xG 0.61
33% Ball Possession 67%
9 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 6
150 Passes 428
61% Pass Accuracy 83%
13 Box Touches 17
12 Crosses 18
4 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Ruzomberok vs Podbrezova
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ruzomberok edged past Podbrezova 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

Our pre-match lean was Podbrezova at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Ruzomberok had 33% of the ball to Podbrezova's 67%, shots finished 9-10, expected goals 0.68 to 0.61.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Ruzomberok had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Ruzomberok and 1.50 for Podbrezova.

What was the final score of Ruzomberok vs Podbrezova?

Ruzomberok 2-1 Podbrezova in the Slovakia Super League on 02/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ruzomberok vs Podbrezova?

Before kick-off our model rated an Podbrezova win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Ruzomberok 30%, draw 29%, Podbrezova 41%. The final score 2-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Podbrezova) ✗ Under 2.5
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