Zemplin Michalovce 4-1 Zlate Moravce — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Slovakia Super League, 2 Mar 2024

Zemplin Michalovce
4-1 HT 1-1
Zlate Moravce
📅02/03/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
Slovakia Super League – 2023/2024

Zemplin Michalovce vs Zlate Moravce Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
1.89
Draw
27%
3.54
Away
32%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.95
Over 2.5
46%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.7
No
50%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
28%
3.58
2-3 Goals
44%
1.8
4-5 Goals
19%
3.36
6+ Goals
9%
12.3
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.58 — our 28% vs market 22.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
7%
1/X
9%
X/1
11%
X/2
15%
X/X
12%
2/1
8%
2/2
10%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
49%
-8.3pp
27%
Draw
25%
+2.2pp
32%
Away Win
26%
+6.0pp
54%
Under 2.5
48%
+6.0pp
46%
Over 2.5
52%
-6.0pp
50%
BTTS Yes
55%
-4.7pp
50%
BTTS No
45%
+4.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Zemplin Michalovce v Zlate Moravce — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Zemplin Michalovce EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Zlate Moravce EU Bookmakers 29%
-9% / -13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +2%
1.24/1.11 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.22/1.27
-36% / +14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -21% / +32%
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
322 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 256 · 71%
26.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.4
21.5 Crosses 16.8
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.0

Zemplin Michalovce vs Zlate Moravce Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Zemplin Michalovce
3W-3D-0L
AWAY Zlate Moravce
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
1.28 xG 1.53
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
242 Passes 287
68% Pass Accuracy 72%
20 Box Touches 17
13 Crosses 27
3 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
20.10.2023 Zlate Moravce Zlate Moravce 2-2 HT 1-0 Zemplin Michalovce Zemplin Michalovce SLVK
11.03.2023 Zlate Moravce Zlate Moravce 2-5 HT 0-3 Zemplin Michalovce Zemplin Michalovce SLVK
04.03.2023 Zemplin Michalovce Zemplin Michalovce 0-0 HT 0-0 Zlate Moravce Zlate Moravce SLVK
17.09.2022 Zlate Moravce Zlate Moravce 0-1 HT 0-1 Zemplin Michalovce Zemplin Michalovce SLVK
18.04.2022 Zlate Moravce Zlate Moravce 1-1 HT 0-1 Zemplin Michalovce Zemplin Michalovce SLVK
19.03.2022 Zemplin Michalovce Zemplin Michalovce 1-0 HT 0-0 Zlate Moravce Zlate Moravce SLVK

Zemplin Michalovce 4-1 Zlate Moravce — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Zemplin Michalovce
4-1
AWAY Zlate Moravce
1.03 xG 0.53
64% Ball Possession 36%
20 Total Shots 8
8 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
387 Passes 180
83% Pass Accuracy 67%
24 Box Touches 7
31 Crosses 13
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Zemplin Michalovce vs Zlate Moravce
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Zemplin Michalovce cruised past Zlate Moravce 4-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Zemplin Michalovce as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Zemplin Michalovce had 64% of the ball to Zlate Moravce's 36%, shots finished 20-8, expected goals 1.03 to 0.53.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Zemplin Michalovce had the better of it with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Zemplin Michalovce and 0.83 for Zlate Moravce.

What was the final score of Zemplin Michalovce vs Zlate Moravce?

Zemplin Michalovce 4-1 Zlate Moravce in the Slovakia Super League on 02/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Zemplin Michalovce vs Zlate Moravce?

Before kick-off our model rated a Zemplin Michalovce win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Zemplin Michalovce 41%, draw 27%, Zlate Moravce 32%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Zemplin Michalovce) — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Zemplin Michalovce) ✗ Under 2.5
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