Slovan Bratislava 2-0 Spartak Trnava — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Slovakia Super League, 2 Mar 2024

📅02/03/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
1.66
Draw
29%
3.72
Away
26%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.91
Over 2.5
46%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.82
No
50%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
28%
3.4
2-3 Goals
42%
1.79
4-5 Goals
20%
3.49
6+ Goals
10%
13.45
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.4 — our 28% vs market 24.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
6%
1/X
9%
X/1
24%
X/2
12%
X/X
13%
2/1
5%
2/2
8%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
56%
-10.7pp
29%
Draw
23%
+5.5pp
26%
Away Win
21%
+5.2pp
54%
Under 2.5
48%
+6.0pp
46%
Over 2.5
52%
-6.0pp
50%
BTTS Yes
51%
-0.4pp
50%
BTTS No
49%
+0.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Slovan Bratislava EU Bookmakers 60%
Head to Head
AWAY Spartak Trnava EU Bookmakers 24%
-4% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / +5%
1.66/0.72 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.99/1.56
-17% / +66% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -21% / +20%
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
343 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 242 · 70%
24.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.7
22.5 Crosses 14.9
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Slovan Bratislava
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Spartak Trnava
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
1.44 xG 0.58
56% Ball Possession 44%
13 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 3
359 Passes 238
78% Pass Accuracy 72%
22 Box Touches 11
14 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 3
22.10.2023 Spartak Trnava Spartak Trnava 1-2 HT 0-0 Slovan Bratislava Slovan Bratislava SLVK
01.05.2023 Spartak Trnava Spartak Trnava 3-1 HT 0-0 Slovan Bratislava Slovan Bratislava SLOVK
28.04.2023 Slovan Bratislava Slovan Bratislava 1-0 HT 1-0 Spartak Trnava Spartak Trnava SLVK
02.04.2023 Spartak Trnava Spartak Trnava 0-0 HT 0-0 Slovan Bratislava Slovan Bratislava SLVK
04.03.2023 Slovan Bratislava Slovan Bratislava 4-1 HT 3-0 Spartak Trnava Spartak Trnava SLVK
18.09.2022 Spartak Trnava Spartak Trnava 0-0 HT 0-0 Slovan Bratislava Slovan Bratislava SLVK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Slovan Bratislava
2-0
AWAY Spartak Trnava
1.33 xG 0.28
51% Ball Possession 49%
10 Total Shots 7
5 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 4
370 Passes 355
78% Pass Accuracy 81%
16 Box Touches 11
15 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Slovan Bratislava vs Spartak Trnava
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Slovan Bratislava got the better of Spartak Trnava 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Slovan Bratislava as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Slovan Bratislava had 51% of the ball to Spartak Trnava's 49%, shots finished 10-7, expected goals 1.33 to 0.28.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Slovan Bratislava had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Slovan Bratislava and 0.83 for Spartak Trnava.

What was the final score of Slovan Bratislava vs Spartak Trnava?

Slovan Bratislava 2-0 Spartak Trnava in the Slovakia Super League on 02/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Slovan Bratislava vs Spartak Trnava?

Before kick-off our model rated a Slovan Bratislava win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Slovan Bratislava 45%, draw 29%, Spartak Trnava 26%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Slovan Bratislava), Under 2.5 — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Slovan Bratislava) ✓ Under 2.5
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