Colorado Springs 3-1 Rhode Island — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USL Championship, 18 May 2024

📅18/05/2024 · 🕒04:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.02
Draw
28%
3.35
Away
31%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
1.95
Over 2.5
53%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.66
No
46%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
3.57
2-3 Goals
39%
1.8
4-5 Goals
24%
3.36
6+ Goals
11%
12.35
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1/2
6%
1/X
9%
X/1
5%
X/2
10%
X/X
14%
2/1
9%
2/2
15%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
46%
-4.2pp
28%
Draw
26%
+1.7pp
31%
Away Win
28%
+2.5pp
47%
Under 2.5
48%
-0.9pp
53%
Over 2.5
52%
+0.9pp
54%
BTTS Yes
56%
-2.1pp
46%
BTTS No
44%
+2.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Colorado Springs EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Rhode Island EU Bookmakers 32%
+3% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +25% / +25%
1.61/0.98 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.02/0.89
+12% / +7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -1% / +40%
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
317 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 327 · 79%
20.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.0
17.2 Crosses 17.0
2.6 Yellow Cards 3.0
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Colorado Springs
3-1
AWAY Rhode Island
1.10 xG 1.06
50% Ball Possession 50%
8 Total Shots 9
3 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 9
254 Passes 243
74% Pass Accuracy 74%
15 Box Touches 19
9 Crosses 25
0 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Colorado Springs vs Rhode Island
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Colorado Springs saw off Rhode Island 3-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Colorado Springs as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, Colorado Springs had 50% of the ball to Rhode Island's 50%, shots finished 8-9, expected goals 1.10 to 1.06.

What was the final score of Colorado Springs vs Rhode Island?

Colorado Springs 3-1 Rhode Island in the USL Championship on 18/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Colorado Springs vs Rhode Island?

Before kick-off our model rated a Colorado Springs win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Colorado Springs 41%, draw 28%, Rhode Island 31%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Colorado Springs), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Colorado Springs) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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