Assyriska 2-1 AFC Eskilstuna — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - 1st Division, 18 May 2025

📅18/05/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.27
Draw
28%
3.45
Away
29%
2.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
2.1
Over 2.5
49%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.56
No
44%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
14%
X/2
6%
X/X
11%
2/1
5%
2/2
16%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
40%
+3.2pp
28%
Draw
26%
+2.2pp
29%
Away Win
34%
-5.3pp
51%
Under 2.5
44%
+6.7pp
49%
Over 2.5
56%
-6.7pp
56%
BTTS Yes
60%
-4.3pp
44%
BTTS No
40%
+4.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Assyriska EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY AFC Eskilstuna EU Bookmakers 38%
-6% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +1%
1.32/1.66 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.41/1.95
-15% / -19% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +2% / -24%
49% Ball Possession 51%
13 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
306 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 338 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.5 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Assyriska
0W-3D-3L
AWAY AFC Eskilstuna
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
47% Ball Possession 53%
15 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
06.10.2024 Assyriska Assyriska 1-1 HT 0-0 AFC Eskilstuna AFC Eskilstuna İSÇ3
20.04.2024 AFC Eskilstuna AFC Eskilstuna 3-3 HT 0-1 Assyriska Assyriska İSÇ3
11.09.2016 AFC Eskilstuna AFC Eskilstuna 0-0 HT 0-0 Assyriska Assyriska İSÇ2
11.05.2016 Assyriska Assyriska 0-2 HT 0-2 AFC Eskilstuna AFC Eskilstuna İSÇ2
13.09.2015 AFC Eskilstuna AFC Eskilstuna 3-0 HT 1-0 Assyriska Assyriska İSÇ2
05.05.2015 Assyriska Assyriska 1-3 HT 1-0 AFC Eskilstuna AFC Eskilstuna İSÇ2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Assyriska
2-1
AWAY AFC Eskilstuna
52% Ball Possession 48%
17 Total Shots 13
8 Shots on Target 5
8 Corners 3
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Assyriska vs AFC Eskilstuna
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Assyriska squeezed past AFC Eskilstuna 2-1.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Assyriska as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged both teams to score (56%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Assyriska had 52% of the ball to AFC Eskilstuna's 48%, shots finished 17-13.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, AFC Eskilstuna led the recent series with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Assyriska and 2.00 for AFC Eskilstuna.

What was the final score of Assyriska vs AFC Eskilstuna?

Assyriska 2-1 AFC Eskilstuna in the Sweden - 1st Division on 18/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Assyriska vs AFC Eskilstuna?

Before kick-off our model rated a Assyriska win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Assyriska 43%, draw 28%, AFC Eskilstuna 29%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Assyriska), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Assyriska) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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