AFC Eskilstuna 3-3 Assyriska — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - 1st Division, 20 Apr 2024

AFC Eskilstuna
3-3 HT 0-1
Assyriska
📅20/04/2024 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 ✗ 2nd Score 3-1 ✗
Sweden - 1st Division – 2024

AFC Eskilstuna vs Assyriska Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
1.8
Draw
26%
3.72
Away
27%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.38
Over 2.5
52%
1.52
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.5
No
51%
2.4
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
27%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
13%
X/2
10%
X/X
11%
2/1
8%
2/2
12%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Over 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
52%
-5.1pp
27%
Draw
24%
+2.7pp
27%
Away Win
24%
+2.4pp
48%
Under 2.5
38%
+9.5pp
52%
Over 2.5
62%
-9.6pp
49%
BTTS Yes
62%
-13.3pp
51%
BTTS No
38%
+13.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

AFC Eskilstuna v Assyriska — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME AFC Eskilstuna EU Bookmakers 56%
Head to Head
AWAY Assyriska EU Bookmakers 28%
+34% / +34% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -18% / -18%
3.00/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.39/2.18
+70% / +23% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +9% / -25%
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
351 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 280 · 75%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards 1.8

AFC Eskilstuna vs Assyriska Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME AFC Eskilstuna
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Assyriska
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
59% Ball Possession 41%
10 Total Shots 18
3 Shots on Target 8
7 Corners 8
The Meetings
11.09.2016 AFC Eskilstuna AFC Eskilstuna 0-0 HT 0-0 Assyriska Assyriska İSÇ2
11.05.2016 Assyriska Assyriska 0-2 HT 0-2 AFC Eskilstuna AFC Eskilstuna İSÇ2
13.09.2015 AFC Eskilstuna AFC Eskilstuna 3-0 HT 1-0 Assyriska Assyriska İSÇ2
05.05.2015 Assyriska Assyriska 1-3 HT 1-0 AFC Eskilstuna AFC Eskilstuna İSÇ2
22.08.2010 AFC Eskilstuna AFC Eskilstuna 0-3 HT 0-2 Assyriska Assyriska İSÇ2
15.05.2010 Assyriska Assyriska 1-2 HT 0-2 AFC Eskilstuna AFC Eskilstuna İSÇ2

AFC Eskilstuna 3-3 Assyriska — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME AFC Eskilstuna
3-3
AWAY Assyriska
48% Ball Possession 52%
9 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 7
3 Corners 8
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH AFC Eskilstuna vs Assyriska
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

AFC Eskilstuna and Assyriska couldn't be separated, finishing 3-3. Half-time: 0-1. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was AFC Eskilstuna at 47%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, AFC Eskilstuna had 48% of the ball to Assyriska's 52%, shots finished 9-14.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, AFC Eskilstuna had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for AFC Eskilstuna and 0.83 for Assyriska.

What was the final score of AFC Eskilstuna vs Assyriska?

AFC Eskilstuna 3-3 Assyriska in the Sweden - 1st Division on 20/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for AFC Eskilstuna vs Assyriska?

Before kick-off our model rated a AFC Eskilstuna win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split AFC Eskilstuna 47%, draw 27%, Assyriska 27%. The final score 3-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (AFC Eskilstuna), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (AFC Eskilstuna) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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