IF Karlstad 1-4 Stockholm Internazionale — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - 1st Division, 20 Apr 2024

📅20/04/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
2.94
Draw
18%
3.54
Away
49%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
42%
2.23
Over 2.5
58%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.5
No
46%
2.4
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
45%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
7%
1/X
4%
X/1
11%
X/2
23%
X/X
9%
2/1
7%
2/2
20%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
31%
+1.9pp
18%
Draw
25%
-7.1pp
49%
Away Win
44%
+5.2pp
42%
Under 2.5
41%
+1.1pp
58%
Over 2.5
59%
-1.1pp
54%
BTTS Yes
62%
-8.4pp
46%
BTTS No
38%
+8.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME IF Karlstad EU Bookmakers 34%
Head to Head
AWAY Stockholm Internazionale EU Bookmakers 48%
+9% / +9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / -10%
1.88/1.27 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.66/1.26
+46% / +16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +5% / -5%
49% Ball Possession 51%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
315 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 392 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.0 Yellow Cards 1.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME IF Karlstad
2W-1D-1L
AWAY Stockholm Internazionale
1.25 Avg Goals (FT) 0.75
56% Ball Possession 44%
8 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
1 Yellow Cards 1
07.10.2023 IF Karlstad IF Karlstad 0-1 HT 0-1 Stockholm Internazionale Stockholm Internazionale İSÇ3
16.04.2023 Stockholm Internazionale Stockholm Internazionale 1-2 HT 1-0 IF Karlstad IF Karlstad İSÇ3
23.10.2022 IF Karlstad IF Karlstad 2-0 HT 0-0 Stockholm Internazionale Stockholm Internazionale İSÇ3
18.06.2022 Stockholm Internazionale Stockholm Internazionale 1-1 HT 1-1 IF Karlstad IF Karlstad İSÇ3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME IF Karlstad
1-4
AWAY Stockholm Internazionale
41% Ball Possession 59%
5 Total Shots 18
4 Shots on Target 9
8 Corners 7
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH IF Karlstad vs Stockholm Internazionale
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Stockholm Internazionale cruised past IF Karlstad 4-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-2. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had Stockholm Internazionale as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (58%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, IF Karlstad had 41% of the ball to Stockholm Internazionale's 59%, shots finished 5-18.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, IF Karlstad had the better of it with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.25 goals for IF Karlstad and 0.75 for Stockholm Internazionale.

What was the final score of IF Karlstad vs Stockholm Internazionale?

IF Karlstad 1-4 Stockholm Internazionale in the Sweden - 1st Division on 20/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for IF Karlstad vs Stockholm Internazionale?

Before kick-off our model rated an Stockholm Internazionale win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split IF Karlstad 33%, draw 18%, Stockholm Internazionale 49%. The final score 1-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Stockholm Internazionale), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Stockholm Internazionale) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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