Lunds BK 3-2 FC Trollhattan — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - 1st Division, 20 Apr 2024

📅20/04/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
1.75
Draw
28%
3.72
Away
33%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.21
Over 2.5
51%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.61
No
51%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
9%
X/2
7%
X/X
16%
2/1
9%
2/2
21%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
53%
-14.3pp
28%
Draw
24%
+4.4pp
33%
Away Win
23%
+9.9pp
49%
Under 2.5
41%
+8.1pp
51%
Over 2.5
59%
-8.1pp
49%
BTTS Yes
58%
-8.6pp
51%
BTTS No
42%
+8.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Lunds BK EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY FC Trollhattan EU Bookmakers 26%
+6% / +9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +16%
1.95/1.03 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.96/1.52
-4% / +5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -25% / +9%
57% Ball Possession 43%
18 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
369 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 306 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards 1.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Lunds BK
2W-4D-0L
AWAY FC Trollhattan
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
53% Ball Possession 47%
8 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 6
2 Corners 5
1 Yellow Cards 2
28.10.2023 Lunds BK Lunds BK 1-0 HT 1-0 FC Trollhattan FC Trollhattan İSÇ3
04.06.2023 FC Trollhattan FC Trollhattan 0-0 HT 0-0 Lunds BK Lunds BK İSÇ3
21.08.2022 FC Trollhattan FC Trollhattan 2-2 HT 0-0 Lunds BK Lunds BK İSÇ3
23.04.2022 Lunds BK Lunds BK 0-0 HT 0-0 FC Trollhattan FC Trollhattan İSÇ3
04.09.2021 Lunds BK Lunds BK 2-1 HT 0-0 FC Trollhattan FC Trollhattan İSÇ3
24.04.2021 FC Trollhattan FC Trollhattan 2-2 HT 1-0 Lunds BK Lunds BK İSÇ3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Lunds BK
3-2
AWAY FC Trollhattan
46% Ball Possession 54%
13 Total Shots 13
9 Shots on Target 5
2 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Lunds BK vs FC Trollhattan
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Lunds BK nicked a narrow win over FC Trollhattan 3-2. It was 1-2 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match split (39% / 28% / 33%) promised a tight game; Lunds BK found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Lunds BK had 46% of the ball to FC Trollhattan's 54%, shots finished 13-13.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Lunds BK had the better of it with 2 wins, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Lunds BK and 0.83 for FC Trollhattan.

What was the final score of Lunds BK vs FC Trollhattan?

Lunds BK 3-2 FC Trollhattan in the Sweden - 1st Division on 20/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Lunds BK vs FC Trollhattan?

Before kick-off our model rated a Lunds BK win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Lunds BK 39%, draw 28%, FC Trollhattan 33%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Lunds BK), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Lunds BK) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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