Umea FC Akademi 5-3 IFK Östersund — Result, Statistics & Match Review — İSÇD4, 18 May 2025

📅18/05/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
2.84
Draw
23%
3.64
Away
46%
2.03
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
Over 2.5
49%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.46
No
52%
2.53
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
8%
1/X
12%
X/1
9%
X/2
12%
X/X
9%
2/1
4%
2/2
25%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
31%
+0.1pp
23%
Draw
24%
-0.7pp
45%
Away Win
45%
+0.6pp
48%
BTTS Yes
64%
-16.1pp
52%
BTTS No
36%
+16.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Umea FC Akademi EU Bookmakers 35%
Head to Head
AWAY IFK Östersund EU Bookmakers 49%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
44% Ball Possession 56%
11 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
297 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 404 · 83%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Umea FC Akademi
1W-1D-4L
AWAY IFK Östersund
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 2.67
17.08.2024 IFK Östersund IFK Östersund 4-1 HT 1-0 Umea FC Akademi İSÇ4
27.08.2022 IFK Östersund IFK Östersund 4-0 HT 1-0 Umea FC Akademi İSÇ4
07.05.2022 Umea FC Akademi 2-4 HT 2-2 IFK Östersund IFK Östersund İSÇ4
09.10.2021 IFK Östersund IFK Östersund 0-0 HT 0-0 Umea FC Akademi İSÇ4
02.10.2021 Umea FC Akademi 2-3 HT 2-3 IFK Östersund IFK Östersund İSÇ4
22.08.2020 Umea FC Akademi 2-1 HT 1-0 IFK Östersund IFK Östersund İSÇ4
POST-MATCH Umea FC Akademi vs IFK Östersund
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Umea FC Akademi saw off IFK Östersund 5-3. Half-time: 2-0. 8 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was IFK Östersund at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, IFK Östersund led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Umea FC Akademi and 2.67 for IFK Östersund.

What was the final score of Umea FC Akademi vs IFK Östersund?

Umea FC Akademi 5-3 IFK Östersund in the İSÇD4 on 18/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Umea FC Akademi vs IFK Östersund?

Before kick-off our model rated an IFK Östersund win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Umea FC Akademi 31%, draw 23%, IFK Östersund 45%. The final score 5-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (IFK Östersund) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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