IFK Östersund 4-1 Umea FC Akademi — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - 2nd Division Östra Götaland, 17 Aug 2024

📅17/08/2024 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
68%
1.22
Draw
13%
6.26
Away
19%
8.19
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
30%
3.94
Over 2.5
70%
1.22
Both Teams to Score
Yes
61%
1.61
No
39%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
16%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
30%
6+ Goals
16%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
41%
1/2
4%
1/X
5%
X/1
16%
X/2
6%
X/X
3%
2/1
11%
2/2
9%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
68%
Home Win
78%
-9.3pp
13%
Draw
13%
+0.0pp
19%
Away Win
9%
+9.3pp
30%
Under 2.5
22%
+8.6pp
70%
Over 2.5
78%
-8.5pp
61%
BTTS Yes
58%
+3.6pp
39%
BTTS No
42%
-3.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME IFK Östersund EU Bookmakers 82%
Head to Head
AWAY Umea FC Akademi EU Bookmakers 12%
-7% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +3%
3.28/0.63 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.74/3.62
+15% / +49% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -29% / -30%
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 6
5 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 2
513 · 86% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 267 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME IFK Östersund
3W-1D-1L
AWAY Umea FC Akademi
2.40 Avg Goals (FT) 1.20
27.08.2022 IFK Östersund IFK Östersund 4-0 HT 1-0 Umea FC Akademi İSÇ4
07.05.2022 Umea FC Akademi 2-4 HT 2-2 IFK Östersund IFK Östersund İSÇ4
09.10.2021 IFK Östersund IFK Östersund 0-0 HT 0-0 Umea FC Akademi İSÇ4
02.10.2021 Umea FC Akademi 2-3 HT 2-3 IFK Östersund IFK Östersund İSÇ4
22.08.2020 Umea FC Akademi 2-1 HT 1-0 IFK Östersund IFK Östersund İSÇ4
POST-MATCH IFK Östersund vs Umea FC Akademi
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

IFK Östersund cruised past Umea FC Akademi 4-1. Half-time: 1-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had IFK Östersund as the likeliest winner at 68%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (70%), both teams to score (61%) came in.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, IFK Östersund had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.40 goals for IFK Östersund and 1.20 for Umea FC Akademi.

What was the final score of IFK Östersund vs Umea FC Akademi?

IFK Östersund 4-1 Umea FC Akademi in the Sweden - 2nd Division Östra Götaland on 17/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for IFK Östersund vs Umea FC Akademi?

Before kick-off our model rated a IFK Östersund win the most likely single outcome at about 68%, with the full match-result split IFK Östersund 68%, draw 13%, Umea FC Akademi 19%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (IFK Östersund), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (IFK Östersund) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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