Qviding FIF 2-1 Varbergs GIF — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - 2nd Division Östra Götaland, 17 Aug 2024

📅17/08/2024 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.53
Draw
32%
3.72
Away
30%
2.23
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
42%
2.51
Over 2.5
58%
1.48
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.43
No
43%
2.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
2-3 Goals
34%
4-5 Goals
31%
6+ Goals
15%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
8%
X/2
5%
X/X
17%
2/1
8%
2/2
18%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
36%
+2.6pp
32%
Draw
23%
+8.2pp
30%
Away Win
41%
-10.8pp
42%
Under 2.5
36%
+6.0pp
58%
Over 2.5
64%
-6.0pp
57%
BTTS Yes
66%
-8.7pp
43%
BTTS No
34%
+8.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Qviding FIF EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Varbergs GIF EU Bookmakers 45%
-21% / -21% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -10% / -10%
1.14/2.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.18/1.73
-33% / -19% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -30% / -8%
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 15
6 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 5
303 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 264 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.0 Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Qviding FIF
1W-0D-2L
AWAY Varbergs GIF
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 0
21.04.2024 Varbergs GIF Varbergs GIF 2-0 HT 1-0 Qviding FIF Qviding FIF İSÇ4
03.09.2023 Qviding FIF Qviding FIF 3-4 HT 1-1 Varbergs GIF Varbergs GIF İSÇ4
07.05.2023 Varbergs GIF Varbergs GIF 0-2 HT 0-0 Qviding FIF Qviding FIF İSÇ4
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Qviding FIF
2-1
AWAY Varbergs GIF
48% Ball Possession 52%
8 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 6
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Qviding FIF vs Varbergs GIF
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Qviding FIF edged past Varbergs GIF 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 38% / 32% / 30% — and on the day Qviding FIF made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (58%), both teams to score (57%) came in.

On the day, Qviding FIF had 48% of the ball to Varbergs GIF's 52%, shots finished 8-8.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Varbergs GIF led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Qviding FIF and 2.00 for Varbergs GIF.

What was the final score of Qviding FIF vs Varbergs GIF?

Qviding FIF 2-1 Varbergs GIF in the Sweden - 2nd Division Östra Götaland on 17/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Qviding FIF vs Varbergs GIF?

Before kick-off our model rated a Qviding FIF win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Qviding FIF 38%, draw 32%, Varbergs GIF 30%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Qviding FIF), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Qviding FIF) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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