17/08/2024
·
14:00
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
2-2
2nd Score
2-1
Lödde vs Nosaby IF Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Both Teams to Score
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
35%
4-5 Goals
31%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
8%
1/X
7%
X/1
14%
X/2
6%
X/X
6%
2/1
8%
2/2
28%
2/X
8%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
✋
Decision
No Bet — Skip This Match
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Market
EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
42%
21%
Draw
24%
42%
Away Win
34%
43%
Under 2.5
42%
57%
Over 2.5
58%
57%
BTTS Yes
60%
43%
BTTS No
40%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Lödde v Nosaby IF — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Lödde
EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY
Nosaby IF
EU Bookmakers 38%
-2% /
-2%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
-5% /
-5%
1.99/2.02
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
2.08/1.77
+11%
/
-25%
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
+32%
/
-3%
50%
Ball Possession
50%
13
Total Shots
11
5
Shots on Target
5
5
Corners
4
364 · 79%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
337 · 79%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
1.0
Yellow Cards
–
Lödde vs Nosaby IF Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings
H2H
Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME
Lödde
0W-0D-1L
AWAY
Nosaby IF
0.00
Avg Goals (FT)
1.00
50%
Ball Possession
50%
12
Total Shots
8
7
Shots on Target
4
9
Corners
1
2
Yellow Cards
4
The Meetings
POST-MATCH
Lödde vs Nosaby IF
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
Lödde edged past Nosaby IF 2-1. Half-time: 2-0.
Our pre-match split (37% / 21% / 42%) promised a tight game; Lödde found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (57%), both teams to score (57%), and both reads landed as well.
What was the final score of Lödde vs Nosaby IF?
Lödde 2-1 Nosaby IF in the Sweden - 2nd Division Östra Götaland on 17/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Lödde vs Nosaby IF?
Before kick-off our model rated an Nosaby IF win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Lödde 37%, draw 21%, Nosaby IF 42%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Nosaby IF) went the other way.
✗ Match Result (Nosaby IF)
✓ Over 2.5
✓ BTTS Yes
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