Jonsereds IF 1-1 Bergdalens — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - 2nd Division Östra Götaland, 17 Aug 2024

📅17/08/2024 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
51%
1.89
Draw
21%
3.94
Away
28%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
40%
2.96
Over 2.5
60%
1.36
Both Teams to Score
Yes
62%
1.38
No
38%
2.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
18%
2-3 Goals
34%
4-5 Goals
31%
6+ Goals
17%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
35%
1/2
4%
1/X
7%
X/1
9%
X/2
10%
X/X
7%
2/1
7%
2/2
14%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
51%
Home Win
49%
+1.8pp
21%
Draw
22%
-1.1pp
28%
Away Win
29%
-0.7pp
40%
Under 2.5
30%
+10.0pp
60%
Over 2.5
70%
-10.0pp
62%
BTTS Yes
68%
-6.5pp
38%
BTTS No
32%
+6.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Jonsereds IF EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Bergdalens EU Bookmakers 32%
-11% / -11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -41% / -41%
1.00/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.35/3.70
-49% / +33% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -11% / -50%
47% Ball Possession 53%
11 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 5
352 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 396 · 82%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Jonsereds IF
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Bergdalens
3.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
20.04.2024 Bergdalens 1-3 HT 1-1 Jonsereds IF Jonsereds IF İSÇ4
POST-MATCH Jonsereds IF vs Bergdalens
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Jonsereds IF and Bergdalens couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Jonsereds IF at 51%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, both teams to score (62%) landed while over 2.5 goals (60%) missed.

What was the final score of Jonsereds IF vs Bergdalens?

Jonsereds IF 1-1 Bergdalens in the Sweden - 2nd Division Östra Götaland on 17/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Jonsereds IF vs Bergdalens?

Before kick-off our model rated a Jonsereds IF win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Jonsereds IF 51%, draw 21%, Bergdalens 28%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Jonsereds IF), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Jonsereds IF) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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