Crotone 1-2 Vicenza — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 18 May 2025

📅18/05/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.47
Draw
29%
3.04
Away
34%
2.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.62
Over 2.5
47%
2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.9
No
50%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2.5
2-3 Goals
43%
1.73
4-5 Goals
20%
4.34
6+ Goals
8%
22.9
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
16%
X/2
17%
X/X
12%
2/1
8%
2/2
9%
2/X
11%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
37%
+0.2pp
29%
Draw
30%
-0.1pp
33%
Away Win
34%
-0.1pp
53%
Under 2.5
58%
-4.4pp
47%
Over 2.5
42%
+4.4pp
50%
BTTS Yes
49%
+1.2pp
50%
BTTS No
51%
-1.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Crotone EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Vicenza EU Bookmakers 37%
-11% / -11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -11%
1.17/1.56 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.90/1.11
+0% / -31% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -21% / +0%
47% Ball Possession 53%
9 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
232 · 67% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 277 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.1 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Crotone
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Vicenza
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
0.77 xG 1.83
52% Ball Possession 48%
9 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
382 Passes 223
79% Pass Accuracy 69%
19 Box Touches 18
16 Crosses 19
3 Yellow Cards 2
06.04.2022 Vicenza Vicenza 1-1 HT 1-1 Crotone Crotone İTB
26.11.2021 Crotone Crotone 0-1 HT 0-0 Vicenza Vicenza İTB
27.02.2016 Crotone Crotone 2-0 HT 1-0 Vicenza Vicenza İTB
10.10.2015 Vicenza Vicenza 0-0 HT 0-0 Crotone Crotone İTB
21.02.2015 Vicenza Vicenza 1-0 HT 0-0 Crotone Crotone İTB
27.09.2014 Crotone Crotone 0-0 HT 0-0 Vicenza Vicenza İTB
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Crotone
1-2
AWAY Vicenza
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 15
1 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 9
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Crotone vs Vicenza
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Vicenza nicked a narrow win over Crotone 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match split (37% / 29% / 33%) promised a tight game; Vicenza found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Crotone had 50% of the ball to Vicenza's 50%, shots finished 11-15.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Vicenza led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Crotone and 0.50 for Vicenza.

What was the final score of Crotone vs Vicenza?

Crotone 1-2 Vicenza in the Italy - Serie C on 18/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Crotone vs Vicenza?

Before kick-off our model rated a Crotone win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Crotone 37%, draw 29%, Vicenza 33%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Crotone) ✗ Under 2.5
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