GIANA Erminio 1-0 Ternana — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 18 May 2025

📅18/05/2025 · 🕒19:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.84
Draw
32%
2.83
Away
31%
2.51
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.51
Over 2.5
40%
2.43
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
2.03
No
56%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
35%
2.21
2-3 Goals
37%
1.76
4-5 Goals
21%
5.08
6+ Goals
7%
31.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
8%
1/X
8%
X/1
16%
X/2
9%
X/X
18%
2/1
8%
2/2
13%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
32%
+4.9pp
33%
Draw
32%
+0.6pp
31%
Away Win
36%
-5.5pp
60%
Under 2.5
62%
-2.8pp
40%
Over 2.5
38%
+2.8pp
44%
BTTS Yes
45%
-0.8pp
56%
BTTS No
55%
+0.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME GIANA Erminio EU Bookmakers 35%
Head to Head
AWAY Ternana EU Bookmakers 40%
+2% / +19% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +17% / +14%
1.34/0.82 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.21/0.61
+20% / +38% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +7% / +83%
48% Ball Possession 52%
9 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
242 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 311 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME GIANA Erminio
1-0
AWAY Ternana
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 3
0 Corners 3
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH GIANA Erminio vs Ternana
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

GIANA Erminio edged past Ternana 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (37% / 33% / 31%) promised a tight game; GIANA Erminio found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (60%), no to both teams scoring (56%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, GIANA Erminio had 49% of the ball to Ternana's 51%, shots finished 12-10.

What was the final score of GIANA Erminio vs Ternana?

GIANA Erminio 1-0 Ternana in the Italy - Serie C on 18/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for GIANA Erminio vs Ternana?

Before kick-off our model rated a GIANA Erminio win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split GIANA Erminio 37%, draw 33%, Ternana 31%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (GIANA Erminio), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (GIANA Erminio) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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