Afturelding 4-3 KR Reykjavik — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Iceland - Urvalsdeild, 18 May 2025

📅18/05/2025 · 🕒22:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
27%
2.67
Draw
28%
3.72
Away
45%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
38%
Over 2.5
62%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
1.35
No
42%
2.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
18%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
30%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
1/2
7%
1/X
11%
X/1
9%
X/2
17%
X/X
11%
2/1
8%
2/2
21%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
28%
Home Win
34%
-6.0pp
28%
Draw
23%
+4.4pp
45%
Away Win
43%
+1.6pp
58%
BTTS Yes
70%
-12.5pp
42%
BTTS No
30%
+12.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Afturelding EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY KR Reykjavik EU Bookmakers 48%
+24% / +24% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +4%
1.36/1.60 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.00/1.74
-5% / Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -14% / -2%
48% Ball Possession 52%
13 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 6
7 Corners 6
251 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 348 · 81%
18.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 26.1
18.5 Crosses 20.4
1.5 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Afturelding
0W-0D-2L
AWAY KR Reykjavik
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 3.50
41% Ball Possession 59%
8 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 10
2 Corners 8
1 Yellow Cards 0
11.02.2022 Afturelding Afturelding 0-5 HT 0-3 KR Reykjavik KR Reykjavik İZLK
08.03.2014 KR Reykjavik KR Reykjavik 2-1 HT 1-0 Afturelding Afturelding İZLK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Afturelding
4-3
AWAY KR Reykjavik
2.13 xG 1.84
29% Ball Possession 71%
14 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 5
179 Passes 580
74% Pass Accuracy 88%
23 Box Touches 46
11 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 8
POST-MATCH Afturelding vs KR Reykjavik
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Afturelding nicked a narrow win over KR Reykjavik 4-3. It was 1-2 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 7 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was KR Reykjavik at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (62%), both teams to score (58%) came in.

On the day, Afturelding had 29% of the ball to KR Reykjavik's 71%, shots finished 14-13, expected goals 2.13 to 1.84.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, KR Reykjavik led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Afturelding and 3.50 for KR Reykjavik.

What was the final score of Afturelding vs KR Reykjavik?

Afturelding 4-3 KR Reykjavik in the Iceland - Urvalsdeild on 18/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Afturelding vs KR Reykjavik?

Before kick-off our model rated an KR Reykjavik win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Afturelding 28%, draw 28%, KR Reykjavik 45%. The final score 4-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (KR Reykjavik) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (KR Reykjavik) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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