Fram Reykjavik 1-0 Vestri — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Iceland - Urvalsdeild, 18 May 2025

📅18/05/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
1.86
Draw
21%
3.64
Away
38%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.07
Over 2.5
51%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.66
No
49%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
14%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
11%
1/X
7%
X/1
18%
X/2
9%
X/X
9%
2/1
7%
2/2
18%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
50%
-9.0pp
21%
Draw
24%
-3.1pp
38%
Away Win
26%
+12.1pp
49%
Under 2.5
44%
+4.4pp
51%
Over 2.5
56%
-4.4pp
51%
BTTS Yes
56%
-5.1pp
49%
BTTS No
44%
+5.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Fram Reykjavik EU Bookmakers 54%
Head to Head
AWAY Vestri EU Bookmakers 29%
+14% / +19% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
1.95/1.48 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.47/2.21
+9% / -3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +33% / +10%
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 5
312 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 267 · 77%
24.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22.2
19.1 Crosses 19.5
1.6 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Fram Reykjavik
5W-0D-1L
AWAY Vestri
2.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
2.23 xG 1.07
50% Ball Possession 50%
16 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
353 Passes 341
80% Pass Accuracy 80%
29 Box Touches 16
20 Crosses 19
2 Yellow Cards 4
05.10.2024 Fram Reykjavik Fram Reykjavik 2-4 HT 1-3 Vestri Vestri İZL
27.06.2024 Vestri Vestri 1-3 HT 0-2 Fram Reykjavik Fram Reykjavik İZL
07.04.2024 Fram Reykjavik Fram Reykjavik 2-0 HT 2-0 Vestri Vestri İZL
14.08.2021 Vestri Vestri 0-1 HT 0-0 Fram Reykjavik Fram Reykjavik İZL1
05.06.2021 Fram Reykjavik Fram Reykjavik 4-0 HT 1-0 Vestri Vestri İZL1
29.09.2020 Vestri Vestri 1-2 HT 0-0 Fram Reykjavik Fram Reykjavik İZL1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Fram Reykjavik
1-0
AWAY Vestri
1.04 xG 1.42
45% Ball Possession 55%
6 Total Shots 16
3 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 5
298 Passes 377
76% Pass Accuracy 81%
23 Box Touches 34
17 Crosses 29
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Fram Reykjavik vs Vestri
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Fram Reykjavik squeezed past Vestri 1-0.

Our pre-match split (41% / 21% / 38%) promised a tight game; Fram Reykjavik found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Fram Reykjavik had 45% of the ball to Vestri's 55%, shots finished 6-16, expected goals 1.04 to 1.42.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Fram Reykjavik had the better of it with 5 wins. Those games averaged 2.33 goals for Fram Reykjavik and 1.00 for Vestri.

What was the final score of Fram Reykjavik vs Vestri?

Fram Reykjavik 1-0 Vestri in the Iceland - Urvalsdeild on 18/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Fram Reykjavik vs Vestri?

Before kick-off our model rated a Fram Reykjavik win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Fram Reykjavik 41%, draw 21%, Vestri 38%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Fram Reykjavik) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Fram Reykjavik) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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