Vestri 1-3 Fram Reykjavik — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Iceland - Urvalsdeild, 27 Jun 2024

📅27/06/2024 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
2.67
Draw
29%
3.45
Away
38%
2.24
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
41%
2.18
Over 2.5
59%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.53
No
45%
2.33
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
18%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
27%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
11%
X/2
12%
X/X
13%
2/1
7%
2/2
18%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
34%
-0.1pp
29%
Draw
26%
+3.2pp
38%
Away Win
41%
-3.0pp
41%
Under 2.5
42%
-1.6pp
59%
Over 2.5
58%
+1.6pp
55%
BTTS Yes
61%
-6.5pp
45%
BTTS No
39%
+6.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Vestri EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Fram Reykjavik EU Bookmakers 45%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -12% / -14%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -28% / +9%
51% Ball Possession 49%
14 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
300 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 345 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 30.1
Crosses 29.3
Yellow Cards 3.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Vestri
0W-1D-4L
AWAY Fram Reykjavik
0.40 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
1.36 xG 1.12
56% Ball Possession 44%
10 Total Shots 11
2 Shots on Target 5
2 Corners 5
391 Passes 209
79% Pass Accuracy 69%
15 Box Touches 19
21 Crosses 13
4 Yellow Cards 3
07.04.2024 Fram Reykjavik Fram Reykjavik 2-0 HT 2-0 Vestri Vestri İZL
14.08.2021 Vestri Vestri 0-1 HT 0-0 Fram Reykjavik Fram Reykjavik İZL1
05.06.2021 Fram Reykjavik Fram Reykjavik 4-0 HT 1-0 Vestri Vestri İZL1
29.09.2020 Vestri Vestri 1-2 HT 0-0 Fram Reykjavik Fram Reykjavik İZL1
12.09.2020 Fram Reykjavik Fram Reykjavik 1-1 HT 0-0 Vestri Vestri İZL1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Vestri
1-3
AWAY Fram Reykjavik
0.67 xG 3.00
54% Ball Possession 46%
9 Total Shots 20
2 Shots on Target 6
9 Corners 6
401 Passes 340
84% Pass Accuracy 82%
15 Box Touches 33
30 Crosses 11
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Vestri vs Fram Reykjavik
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Fram Reykjavik beat Vestri 3-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

We called this one close before kick-off — 34% / 29% / 38% — and on the day Fram Reykjavik made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (59%), both teams to score (55%) came in.

On the day, Vestri had 54% of the ball to Fram Reykjavik's 46%, shots finished 9-20, expected goals 0.67 to 3.00.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, Fram Reykjavik led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.40 goals for Vestri and 2.00 for Fram Reykjavik.

What was the final score of Vestri vs Fram Reykjavik?

Vestri 1-3 Fram Reykjavik in the Iceland - Urvalsdeild on 27/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Vestri vs Fram Reykjavik?

Before kick-off our model rated an Fram Reykjavik win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Vestri 34%, draw 29%, Fram Reykjavik 38%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Fram Reykjavik), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Fram Reykjavik) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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