KR Reykjavik 2-2 Fylkir — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Iceland - Urvalsdeild, 27 Jun 2024

📅27/06/2024 · 🕒22:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.64
Draw
24%
4.19
Away
27%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
40%
3.17
Over 2.5
60%
1.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.38
No
43%
2.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
18%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
30%
6+ Goals
16%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
10%
1/X
6%
X/1
18%
X/2
7%
X/X
10%
2/1
6%
2/2
10%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
57%
-7.6pp
24%
Draw
21%
+3.2pp
27%
Away Win
23%
+4.4pp
40%
Under 2.5
28%
+11.7pp
60%
Over 2.5
72%
-11.7pp
57%
BTTS Yes
68%
-11.6pp
43%
BTTS No
32%
+11.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME KR Reykjavik EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Fylkir EU Bookmakers 26%
-10% / -10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -8% / -11%
1.46/1.35 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.25/1.87
-37% / +35% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -11% / +2%
49% Ball Possession 51%
13 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 6
379 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 309 · 76%
28.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22.4
26.1 Crosses 18.1
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME KR Reykjavik
4W-2D-0L
AWAY Fylkir
3.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
1.96 xG 1.79
53% Ball Possession 47%
15 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 5
314 Passes 246
76% Pass Accuracy 70%
24 Box Touches 20
26 Crosses 20
3 Yellow Cards 3
07.04.2024 Fylkir Fylkir 3-4 HT 1-1 KR Reykjavik KR Reykjavik İZL
27.08.2023 KR Reykjavik KR Reykjavik 2-0 HT 1-0 Fylkir Fylkir İZL
01.06.2023 Fylkir Fylkir 3-3 HT 2-2 KR Reykjavik KR Reykjavik İZL
18.05.2023 Fylkir Fylkir 3-4 HT 1-3 KR Reykjavik KR Reykjavik İZK
26.07.2021 KR Reykjavik KR Reykjavik 4-0 HT 2-0 Fylkir Fylkir İZL
12.05.2021 Fylkir Fylkir 1-1 HT 1-1 KR Reykjavik KR Reykjavik İZL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME KR Reykjavik
2-2
AWAY Fylkir
1.63 xG 1.60
61% Ball Possession 39%
20 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 2
11 Corners 5
395 Passes 194
85% Pass Accuracy 66%
33 Box Touches 12
29 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH KR Reykjavik vs Fylkir
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

KR Reykjavik and Fylkir couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was KR Reykjavik at 49%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (60%), both teams to score (57%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, KR Reykjavik had 61% of the ball to Fylkir's 39%, shots finished 20-9, expected goals 1.63 to 1.60.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, KR Reykjavik had the better of it with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 3.00 goals for KR Reykjavik and 1.67 for Fylkir.

What was the final score of KR Reykjavik vs Fylkir?

KR Reykjavik 2-2 Fylkir in the Iceland - Urvalsdeild on 27/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for KR Reykjavik vs Fylkir?

Before kick-off our model rated a KR Reykjavik win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split KR Reykjavik 49%, draw 24%, Fylkir 27%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (KR Reykjavik) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (KR Reykjavik) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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