Fram Reykjavik 2-4 Vestri — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Iceland - Urvalsdeild, 5 Oct 2024

📅05/10/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.0
Draw
27%
3.54
Away
31%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
2.21
Over 2.5
57%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
61%
1.53
No
39%
2.33
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
19%
4.54
2-3 Goals
43%
1.9
4-5 Goals
24%
2.9
6+ Goals
14%
8.34
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
7%
1/X
9%
X/1
19%
X/2
11%
X/X
13%
2/1
6%
2/2
13%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
46%
-4.6pp
27%
Draw
25%
+2.3pp
31%
Away Win
28%
+2.5pp
43%
Under 2.5
41%
+1.7pp
57%
Over 2.5
59%
-1.7pp
61%
BTTS Yes
61%
+0.1pp
39%
BTTS No
39%
-0.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Fram Reykjavik EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Vestri EU Bookmakers 32%
+10% / +13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -18% / -18%
1.84/1.49 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.59/2.02
-1% / +11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +9% / -14%
48% Ball Possession 52%
14 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 6
285 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 336 · 76%
23.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 36.0
18.8 Crosses 29.0
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Fram Reykjavik
5W-1D-0L
AWAY Vestri
2.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
2.06 xG 1.02
44% Ball Possession 56%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 5
274 Passes 396
75% Pass Accuracy 82%
26 Box Touches 15
12 Crosses 26
3 Yellow Cards 3
27.06.2024 Vestri Vestri 1-3 HT 0-2 Fram Reykjavik Fram Reykjavik İZL
07.04.2024 Fram Reykjavik Fram Reykjavik 2-0 HT 2-0 Vestri Vestri İZL
14.08.2021 Vestri Vestri 0-1 HT 0-0 Fram Reykjavik Fram Reykjavik İZL1
05.06.2021 Fram Reykjavik Fram Reykjavik 4-0 HT 1-0 Vestri Vestri İZL1
29.09.2020 Vestri Vestri 1-2 HT 0-0 Fram Reykjavik Fram Reykjavik İZL1
12.09.2020 Fram Reykjavik Fram Reykjavik 1-1 HT 0-0 Vestri Vestri İZL1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Fram Reykjavik
2-4
AWAY Vestri
2.58 xG 1.19
67% Ball Possession 33%
21 Total Shots 10
10 Shots on Target 7
7 Corners 3
511 Passes 231
88% Pass Accuracy 77%
35 Box Touches 19
35 Crosses 7
0 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Fram Reykjavik vs Vestri
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Vestri got the better of Fram Reykjavik 4-2 away from home. Half-time: 1-3. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Fram Reykjavik at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (57%), both teams to score (61%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Fram Reykjavik had 67% of the ball to Vestri's 33%, shots finished 21-10, expected goals 2.58 to 1.19 — on chances, Fram Reykjavik could feel hard done by.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Fram Reykjavik had the better of it with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.17 goals for Fram Reykjavik and 0.50 for Vestri.

What was the final score of Fram Reykjavik vs Vestri?

Fram Reykjavik 2-4 Vestri in the Iceland - Urvalsdeild on 05/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Fram Reykjavik vs Vestri?

Before kick-off our model rated a Fram Reykjavik win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Fram Reykjavik 42%, draw 27%, Vestri 31%. The final score 2-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Fram Reykjavik) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Fram Reykjavik) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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