Gold Coast United 4-2 Queensland Lions — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - Queensland NPL, 18 May 2025

📅18/05/2025 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
3.32
Draw
22%
3.8
Away
44%
1.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
Over 2.5
55%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.46
No
48%
2.53
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
27%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
13%
X/2
15%
X/X
9%
2/1
6%
2/2
23%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
26%
+7.4pp
22%
Draw
22%
-0.6pp
45%
Away Win
51%
-6.7pp
52%
BTTS Yes
64%
-12.3pp
48%
BTTS No
36%
+12.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Gold Coast United EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Queensland Lions EU Bookmakers 56%
+5% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -2%
1.16/2.11 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.44/1.07
+32% / +38% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -7% / +22%
47% Ball Possession 53%
13 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
319 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 335 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
16.1 Crosses 13.3
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Gold Coast United
4W-2D-0L
AWAY Queensland Lions
2.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.39 xG 0.98
40% Ball Possession 60%
13 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 7
211 Passes 463
70% Pass Accuracy 82%
14 Crosses 27
3 Yellow Cards 1
04.08.2024 Queensland Lions Queensland Lions 2-2 HT 1-1 Gold Coast United Gold Coast United AVNPL
28.04.2024 Gold Coast United Gold Coast United 3-2 HT 1-1 Queensland Lions Queensland Lions AVNPL
15.07.2023 Gold Coast United Gold Coast United 2-0 HT 0-0 Queensland Lions Queensland Lions AVSQ
09.04.2023 Queensland Lions Queensland Lions 0-1 HT 0-1 Gold Coast United Gold Coast United AVNPL
30.07.2022 Queensland Lions Queensland Lions 1-2 HT 1-1 Gold Coast United Gold Coast United AVSQ
30.04.2022 Gold Coast United Gold Coast United 3-3 HT 0-1 Queensland Lions Queensland Lions AVSQ
POST-MATCH Gold Coast United vs Queensland Lions
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Gold Coast United beat Queensland Lions 4-2. Half-time: 2-0. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Queensland Lions at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (55%) came in.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Gold Coast United had the better of it with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.17 goals for Gold Coast United and 1.33 for Queensland Lions.

What was the final score of Gold Coast United vs Queensland Lions?

Gold Coast United 4-2 Queensland Lions in the Australia - Queensland NPL on 18/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Gold Coast United vs Queensland Lions?

Before kick-off our model rated an Queensland Lions win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Gold Coast United 34%, draw 22%, Queensland Lions 45%. The final score 4-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Queensland Lions) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Queensland Lions) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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