Brisbane Roar II 0-1 Brisbane City — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - Queensland NPL, 18 May 2025

📅18/05/2025 · 🕒08:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.38
Draw
23%
3.64
Away
37%
2.39
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
Over 2.5
52%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.39
No
48%
2.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
15%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
6%
1/X
5%
X/1
11%
X/2
11%
X/X
13%
2/1
9%
2/2
20%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
38%
+1.5pp
23%
Draw
24%
-1.0pp
37%
Away Win
38%
-0.5pp
52%
BTTS Yes
68%
-15.9pp
48%
BTTS No
32%
+15.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Brisbane Roar II EU Bookmakers 42%
Head to Head
AWAY Brisbane City EU Bookmakers 42%
+17% / +17% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +1%
1.79/2.03 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 4.15/0.92
+16% / -30% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +76% / +8%
49% Ball Possession 51%
14 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
349 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 373 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
12.2 Crosses 15.0
1.5 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Brisbane Roar II
0W-0D-6L
AWAY Brisbane City
0.33 Avg Goals (FT) 2.67
1.14 xG 4.46
38% Ball Possession 62%
12 Total Shots 17
3 Shots on Target 9
4 Corners 6
214 Passes 550
72% Pass Accuracy 85%
9 Crosses 13
2 Yellow Cards 2
26.05.2024 Brisbane Roar II Brisbane Roar II 2-3 HT 1-1 Brisbane City Brisbane City AVNPL
24.02.2024 Brisbane City Brisbane City 1-0 HT 1-0 Brisbane Roar II Brisbane Roar II AVNPL
04.06.2023 Brisbane City Brisbane City 2-0 HT 1-0 Brisbane Roar II Brisbane Roar II AVNPL
25.02.2023 Brisbane Roar II Brisbane Roar II 0-1 HT 0-0 Brisbane City Brisbane City AVNPL
21.08.2022 Brisbane City Brisbane City 4-0 HT 2-0 Brisbane Roar II Brisbane Roar II AVSQ
16.07.2022 Brisbane Roar II Brisbane Roar II 0-5 HT 0-1 Brisbane City Brisbane City AVSQ
POST-MATCH Brisbane Roar II vs Brisbane City
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Brisbane City edged past Brisbane Roar II 1-0 away from home.

Our pre-match split (40% / 23% / 37%) promised a tight game; Brisbane City found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Brisbane City led the recent series with 6 wins. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for Brisbane Roar II and 2.67 for Brisbane City.

What was the final score of Brisbane Roar II vs Brisbane City?

Brisbane Roar II 0-1 Brisbane City in the Australia - Queensland NPL on 18/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Brisbane Roar II vs Brisbane City?

Before kick-off our model rated a Brisbane Roar II win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Brisbane Roar II 40%, draw 23%, Brisbane City 37%. The final score 0-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Brisbane Roar II) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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AVSQ More Australia - Queensland NPL
18 May 2025
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