SonderjyskE 5-1 Lyngby — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Denmark - Süperlig, 18 May 2025

📅18/05/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.57
Draw
28%
3.28
Away
37%
2.39
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.91
Over 2.5
48%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.66
No
51%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
27%
3.34
2-3 Goals
42%
1.77
4-5 Goals
21%
3.29
6+ Goals
10%
12.1
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.34 — our 27% vs market 23.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
10%
X/2
16%
X/X
12%
2/1
8%
2/2
14%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
35%
-0.5pp
28%
Draw
27%
+1.0pp
38%
Away Win
38%
-0.5pp
52%
Under 2.5
48%
+3.6pp
48%
Over 2.5
52%
-3.6pp
49%
BTTS Yes
56%
-6.8pp
51%
BTTS No
44%
+6.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME SonderjyskE EU Bookmakers 39%
Head to Head
AWAY Lyngby EU Bookmakers 42%
-1% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -6%
0.99/1.61 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.09/1.75
-5% / -1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -59% / +53%
47% Ball Possession 53%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
280 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 324 · 76%
18.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 29.1
13.9 Crosses 23.1
1.8 Yellow Cards 1.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME SonderjyskE
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Lyngby
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
1.34 xG 1.38
45% Ball Possession 55%
14 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 5
298 Passes 374
75% Pass Accuracy 77%
22 Box Touches 23
13 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 2
17.04.2025 Lyngby Lyngby 0-2 HT 0-1 SonderjyskE SonderjyskE DAN
01.12.2024 Lyngby Lyngby 0-2 HT 0-0 SonderjyskE SonderjyskE DAN
26.07.2024 SonderjyskE SonderjyskE 1-1 HT 1-1 Lyngby Lyngby DAN
17.05.2021 SonderjyskE SonderjyskE 2-0 HT 1-0 Lyngby Lyngby DAN
21.04.2021 Lyngby Lyngby 0-1 HT 0-1 SonderjyskE SonderjyskE DAN
01.03.2021 SonderjyskE SonderjyskE 1-4 HT 0-2 Lyngby Lyngby DAN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME SonderjyskE
5-1
AWAY Lyngby
2.81 xG 1.57
53% Ball Possession 47%
10 Total Shots 22
7 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 9
416 Passes 348
82% Pass Accuracy 80%
14 Box Touches 36
7 Crosses 36
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH SonderjyskE vs Lyngby
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

SonderjyskE swept aside Lyngby 5-1. Half-time: 3-0. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

We called this one close before kick-off — 35% / 28% / 38% — and on the day SonderjyskE made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, SonderjyskE had 53% of the ball to Lyngby's 47%, shots finished 10-22, expected goals 2.81 to 1.57.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, SonderjyskE had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for SonderjyskE and 0.83 for Lyngby.

What was the final score of SonderjyskE vs Lyngby?

SonderjyskE 5-1 Lyngby in the Denmark - Süperlig on 18/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for SonderjyskE vs Lyngby?

Before kick-off our model rated an Lyngby win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split SonderjyskE 35%, draw 28%, Lyngby 38%. The final score 5-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Lyngby) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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