Klubi-04 3-1 TPS Turku — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Finland - Ykkönen, 18 May 2025

📅18/05/2025 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.94
Draw
26%
3.72
Away
40%
1.98
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
2.59
Over 2.5
48%
1.45
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.41
No
49%
2.67
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
25%
5.62
2-3 Goals
43%
2.02
4-5 Goals
21%
2.51
6+ Goals
11%
5.54
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 5.62 — our 25% vs market 12.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
9%
1/X
9%
X/1
10%
X/2
13%
X/X
10%
2/1
9%
2/2
18%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
30%
+3.7pp
26%
Draw
23%
+2.7pp
40%
Away Win
46%
-6.4pp
52%
Under 2.5
35%
+16.7pp
48%
Over 2.5
65%
-16.7pp
51%
BTTS Yes
67%
-15.9pp
49%
BTTS No
33%
+15.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Klubi-04 EU Bookmakers 34%
Head to Head
AWAY TPS Turku EU Bookmakers 50%
-10% / -14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / -16%
0.87/1.68 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.28/1.11
-33% / -5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -23% / +6%
45% Ball Possession 55%
10 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 7
298 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 388 · 83%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Klubi-04
1W-1D-1L
AWAY TPS Turku
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
55% Ball Possession 45%
10 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 8
4 Corners 7
2 Yellow Cards 1
19.09.2021 Klubi-04 Klubi-04 2-4 HT 1-2 TPS Turku TPS Turku FİN2
01.07.2021 TPS Turku TPS Turku 0-1 HT 0-1 Klubi-04 Klubi-04 FİN2
20.01.2018 TPS Turku TPS Turku 1-1 HT 0-0 Klubi-04 Klubi-04 FİK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Klubi-04
3-1
AWAY TPS Turku
55% Ball Possession 45%
13 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 6
4 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Klubi-04 vs TPS Turku
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Klubi-04 saw off TPS Turku 3-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 34% / 26% / 40% — and on the day Klubi-04 made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Klubi-04 had 55% of the ball to TPS Turku's 45%, shots finished 13-9.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Klubi-04 and 1.67 for TPS Turku.

What was the final score of Klubi-04 vs TPS Turku?

Klubi-04 3-1 TPS Turku in the Finland - Ykkönen on 18/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Klubi-04 vs TPS Turku?

Before kick-off our model rated an TPS Turku win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Klubi-04 34%, draw 26%, TPS Turku 40%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (TPS Turku), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (TPS Turku) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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