PK-35 ry 4-0 KaPa — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Finland - Ykkönen, 18 May 2025

📅18/05/2025 · 🕒18:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.75
Draw
25%
3.72
Away
27%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.23
Over 2.5
52%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.6
No
48%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
14%
X/2
12%
X/X
10%
2/1
8%
2/2
9%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
53%
-5.1pp
25%
Draw
24%
+1.6pp
27%
Away Win
24%
+3.3pp
48%
Under 2.5
41%
+6.9pp
52%
Over 2.5
59%
-6.9pp
52%
BTTS Yes
58%
-6.4pp
48%
BTTS No
42%
+6.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME PK-35 ry EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY KaPa EU Bookmakers 27%
+3% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +11% / +11%
1.60/0.45 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.60/2.01
-23% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +24% / -15%
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
294 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 305 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.2 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME PK-35 ry
2W-1D-0L
AWAY KaPa
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.33
43% Ball Possession 57%
14 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 7
3 Yellow Cards 2
22.09.2024 KaPa KaPa 1-1 HT 1-1 PK-35 ry PK-35 ry FİN2
31.05.2024 KaPa KaPa 0-1 HT 0-0 PK-35 ry PK-35 ry FİN2
13.04.2024 PK-35 ry PK-35 ry 3-0 HT 1-0 KaPa KaPa FİN2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME PK-35 ry
4-0
AWAY KaPa
41% Ball Possession 59%
20 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 10
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH PK-35 ry vs KaPa
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

PK-35 ry swept aside KaPa 4-0. Half-time: 2-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had PK-35 ry as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, PK-35 ry had 41% of the ball to KaPa's 59%, shots finished 20-8.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, PK-35 ry had the better of it with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for PK-35 ry and 0.33 for KaPa.

What was the final score of PK-35 ry vs KaPa?

PK-35 ry 4-0 KaPa in the Finland - Ykkönen on 18/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for PK-35 ry vs KaPa?

Before kick-off our model rated a PK-35 ry win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split PK-35 ry 48%, draw 25%, KaPa 27%. The final score 4-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (PK-35 ry), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (PK-35 ry) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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