KaPa 0-1 PK-35 ry — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Finland - Ykkönen, 31 May 2024

KaPa
0-1 HT 0-0
PK-35 ry
📅31/05/2024 · 🕒18:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✓
Finland - Ykkönen – 2024

KaPa vs PK-35 ry Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.53
Draw
21%
3.45
Away
39%
2.35
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
2.03
Over 2.5
49%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.6
No
53%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
27%
3.91
2-3 Goals
42%
1.84
4-5 Goals
21%
3.16
6+ Goals
10%
10.55
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.91 — our 27% vs market 20.5%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
9%
1/X
8%
X/1
13%
X/2
13%
X/X
8%
2/1
5%
2/2
17%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
36%
+4.4pp
21%
Draw
26%
-4.7pp
39%
Away Win
39%
+0.3pp
51%
Under 2.5
45%
+6.0pp
49%
Over 2.5
55%
-6.0pp
47%
BTTS Yes
58%
-11.3pp
53%
BTTS No
42%
+11.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

KaPa v PK-35 ry — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME KaPa EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY PK-35 ry EU Bookmakers 43%
-2% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -8% / -8%
2.13/1.81 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.01/1.72
+55% / -22% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -35% / -27%
47% Ball Possession 53%
11 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 6
361 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 337 · 79%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
1.5 Yellow Cards 1.9

KaPa vs PK-35 ry Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME KaPa
0W-0D-1L
AWAY PK-35 ry
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
55% Ball Possession 45%
11 Total Shots 14
2 Shots on Target 7
5 Corners 7
3 Yellow Cards 4
The Meetings
13.04.2024 PK-35 ry PK-35 ry 3-0 HT 1-0 KaPa KaPa FİN2

KaPa 0-1 PK-35 ry — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME KaPa
0-1
AWAY PK-35 ry
52% Ball Possession 48%
7 Total Shots 11
2 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH KaPa vs PK-35 ry
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

PK-35 ry squeezed past KaPa 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (40% / 21% / 39%) promised a tight game; PK-35 ry found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, KaPa had 52% of the ball to PK-35 ry's 48%, shots finished 7-11.

What was the final score of KaPa vs PK-35 ry?

KaPa 0-1 PK-35 ry in the Finland - Ykkönen on 31/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for KaPa vs PK-35 ry?

Before kick-off our model rated a KaPa win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split KaPa 40%, draw 21%, PK-35 ry 39%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (KaPa) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (KaPa) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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FİN2 More Finland - Ykkönen
31 May 2024
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