PK-35 ry 3-0 KaPa — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Finland - Ykkönen, 13 Apr 2024

📅13/04/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
1.92
Draw
28%
3.54
Away
27%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
2.15
Over 2.5
57%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.6
No
47%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
4.2
2-3 Goals
39%
1.86
4-5 Goals
28%
3.02
6+ Goals
12%
9.39
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
10%
X/2
8%
X/X
15%
2/1
6%
2/2
12%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
48%
-2.7pp
28%
Draw
24%
+3.8pp
27%
Away Win
28%
-1.0pp
43%
Under 2.5
43%
+0.2pp
57%
Over 2.5
57%
-0.2pp
53%
BTTS Yes
58%
-5.0pp
47%
BTTS No
42%
+5.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME PK-35 ry EU Bookmakers 52%
Head to Head
AWAY KaPa EU Bookmakers 32%
-3% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +12% / +12%
1.62/1.14 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 4.00/4.00
-10% / +1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +150% / -65%
52% Ball Possession 48%
11 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
303 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 337 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.9 Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME PK-35 ry
3-0
AWAY KaPa
45% Ball Possession 55%
14 Total Shots 11
7 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 5
4 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH PK-35 ry vs KaPa
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

PK-35 ry ran out comfortable winners over KaPa 3-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had PK-35 ry as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (57%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, PK-35 ry had 45% of the ball to KaPa's 55%, shots finished 14-11.

What was the final score of PK-35 ry vs KaPa?

PK-35 ry 3-0 KaPa in the Finland - Ykkönen on 13/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for PK-35 ry vs KaPa?

Before kick-off our model rated a PK-35 ry win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split PK-35 ry 45%, draw 28%, KaPa 27%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (PK-35 ry), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (PK-35 ry) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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