KTP Kotka 4-0 Mikkeli — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Finland - Ykkönen, 13 Apr 2024

📅13/04/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
1.49
Draw
28%
4.19
Away
29%
5.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
2.15
Over 2.5
42%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.76
No
54%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
30%
4.16
2-3 Goals
41%
1.86
4-5 Goals
20%
3.04
6+ Goals
9%
9.52
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.16 — our 30% vs market 19.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
7%
1/X
9%
X/1
17%
X/2
12%
X/X
9%
2/1
7%
2/2
10%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
63%
-19.6pp
28%
Draw
21%
+6.9pp
29%
Away Win
16%
+12.8pp
58%
Under 2.5
43%
+15.5pp
42%
Over 2.5
57%
-15.5pp
46%
BTTS Yes
53%
-6.9pp
54%
BTTS No
47%
+6.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME KTP Kotka EU Bookmakers 67%
Head to Head
AWAY Mikkeli EU Bookmakers 20%
+4% / +12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +7%
2.35/0.79 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.17/1.70
+2% / +23% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +19% / +25%
55% Ball Possession 45%
10 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
390 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 302 · 71%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
0.8 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME KTP Kotka
3W-0D-2L
AWAY Mikkeli
2.80 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
59% Ball Possession 41%
6 Total Shots 6
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
0 Yellow Cards 4
17.02.2024 Mikkeli Mikkeli 1-5 HT 0-3 KTP Kotka KTP Kotka FINYK
16.08.2022 Mikkeli Mikkeli 3-0 HT 1-0 KTP Kotka KTP Kotka FİN2
01.07.2022 KTP Kotka KTP Kotka 4-1 HT 2-1 Mikkeli Mikkeli FİN2
20.10.2020 Mikkeli Mikkeli 2-3 HT 1-0 KTP Kotka KTP Kotka FİN2
25.07.2020 KTP Kotka KTP Kotka 2-3 HT 1-1 Mikkeli Mikkeli FİN2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME KTP Kotka
4-0
AWAY Mikkeli
64% Ball Possession 36%
11 Total Shots 11
8 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 2
4 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH KTP Kotka vs Mikkeli
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

KTP Kotka ran out comfortable winners over Mikkeli 4-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had KTP Kotka as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (58%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, KTP Kotka had 64% of the ball to Mikkeli's 36%, shots finished 11-11.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, KTP Kotka had the better of it with 3 wins. Those games averaged 2.80 goals for KTP Kotka and 2.00 for Mikkeli.

What was the final score of KTP Kotka vs Mikkeli?

KTP Kotka 4-0 Mikkeli in the Finland - Ykkönen on 13/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for KTP Kotka vs Mikkeli?

Before kick-off our model rated a KTP Kotka win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split KTP Kotka 43%, draw 28%, Mikkeli 29%. The final score 4-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (KTP Kotka), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (KTP Kotka) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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