SalPa Salo 0-3 JIPPO — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Finland - Ykkönen, 13 Apr 2024

📅13/04/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
1.96
Draw
30%
3.45
Away
26%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.91
Over 2.5
50%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.7
No
48%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
28%
3.5
2-3 Goals
36%
1.8
4-5 Goals
26%
3.41
6+ Goals
10%
12.8
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.5 — our 28% vs market 23.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
5%
1/X
10%
X/1
12%
X/2
9%
X/X
12%
2/1
9%
2/2
11%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
47%
-2.9pp
30%
Draw
26%
+4.2pp
26%
Away Win
27%
-1.4pp
50%
Under 2.5
48%
+1.1pp
50%
Over 2.5
52%
-1.1pp
52%
BTTS Yes
55%
-3.1pp
48%
BTTS No
45%
+3.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME SalPa Salo EU Bookmakers 51%
Head to Head
AWAY JIPPO EU Bookmakers 31%
-9% / -9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +12%
2.01/1.20 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.64/1.35
+31% / -2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -47% / +20%
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
357 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 312 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.0
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME SalPa Salo
0-3
AWAY JIPPO
57% Ball Possession 43%
3 Total Shots 16
2 Shots on Target 7
3 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH SalPa Salo vs JIPPO
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

JIPPO cruised past SalPa Salo 3-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

Our pre-match lean was SalPa Salo at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, SalPa Salo had 57% of the ball to JIPPO's 43%, shots finished 3-16.

What was the final score of SalPa Salo vs JIPPO?

SalPa Salo 0-3 JIPPO in the Finland - Ykkönen on 13/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for SalPa Salo vs JIPPO?

Before kick-off our model rated a SalPa Salo win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split SalPa Salo 44%, draw 30%, JIPPO 26%. The final score 0-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (SalPa Salo) ✗ BTTS Yes
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