EPS 0-1 OLS — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Finland - Ykkönen, 13 Apr 2024

EPS
0-1 HT 0-0
OLS
📅13/04/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Finland - Ykkönen – 2024

EPS vs OLS Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
3.75
Draw
25%
3.72
Away
40%
1.74
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
2.23
Over 2.5
48%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.6
No
47%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
29%
4.5
2-3 Goals
44%
1.9
4-5 Goals
16%
2.91
6+ Goals
11%
8.42
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.5 — our 29% vs market 17.4%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
4%
1/X
8%
X/1
13%
X/2
18%
X/X
10%
2/1
4%
2/2
18%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
23%
+11.7pp
25%
Draw
24%
+1.5pp
40%
Away Win
53%
-13.3pp
52%
Under 2.5
41%
+11.1pp
48%
Over 2.5
59%
-11.1pp
53%
BTTS Yes
58%
-5.4pp
47%
BTTS No
42%
+5.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

EPS v OLS — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME EPS EU Bookmakers 27%
Head to Head
AWAY OLS EU Bookmakers 57%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
– / – Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) – / –
47% Ball Possession 53%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
273 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 327 · 76%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards –
POST-MATCH EPS vs OLS
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

OLS edged past EPS 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 35% / 25% / 40% — and on the day OLS made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

What was the final score of EPS vs OLS?

EPS 0-1 OLS in the Finland - Ykkönen on 13/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for EPS vs OLS?

Before kick-off our model rated an OLS win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split EPS 35%, draw 25%, OLS 40%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (OLS), Under 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (OLS) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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