KaPa 1-1 PK-35 ry — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Finland - Ykkönen, 22 Sep 2024

📅22/09/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.33
Draw
28%
3.54
Away
37%
2.51
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
2.33
Over 2.5
49%
1.54
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.46
No
46%
2.51
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
4.94
2-3 Goals
36%
1.94
4-5 Goals
25%
2.78
6+ Goals
12%
7.39
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
8%
1/X
9%
X/1
14%
X/2
11%
X/X
12%
2/1
7%
2/2
18%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
39%
-3.9pp
28%
Draw
25%
+3.0pp
37%
Away Win
36%
+0.9pp
51%
Under 2.5
39%
+11.8pp
49%
Over 2.5
61%
-11.9pp
54%
BTTS Yes
64%
-10.8pp
46%
BTTS No
36%
+10.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME KaPa EU Bookmakers 43%
Head to Head
AWAY PK-35 ry EU Bookmakers 40%
+6% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -5%
2.87/1.40 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.84/1.39
+89% / -1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -47% / -3%
53% Ball Possession 47%
10 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 5
398 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 299 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.3 Yellow Cards 2.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME KaPa
0W-0D-2L
AWAY PK-35 ry
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
54% Ball Possession 46%
9 Total Shots 12
2 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 4
31.05.2024 KaPa KaPa 0-1 HT 0-0 PK-35 ry PK-35 ry FİN2
13.04.2024 PK-35 ry PK-35 ry 3-0 HT 1-0 KaPa KaPa FİN2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME KaPa
1-1
AWAY PK-35 ry
63% Ball Possession 37%
16 Total Shots 16
7 Shots on Target 6
10 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH KaPa vs PK-35 ry
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

KaPa and PK-35 ry shared the points in a 1-1 draw.

Our pre-match split (35% / 28% / 37%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, KaPa had 63% of the ball to PK-35 ry's 37%, shots finished 16-16.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, PK-35 ry led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 0.00 goals for KaPa and 2.00 for PK-35 ry.

What was the final score of KaPa vs PK-35 ry?

KaPa 1-1 PK-35 ry in the Finland - Ykkönen on 22/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for KaPa vs PK-35 ry?

Before kick-off our model rated an PK-35 ry win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split KaPa 35%, draw 28%, PK-35 ry 37%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (PK-35 ry) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (PK-35 ry) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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