Jaro 2-1 JIPPO — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Finland - Ykkönen, 22 Sep 2024

Jaro
2-1 HT 0-0
JIPPO
📅22/09/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
1.64
Draw
28%
3.72
Away
25%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
1.82
Over 2.5
51%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.9
No
51%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
3.2
2-3 Goals
41%
1.78
4-5 Goals
24%
3.67
6+ Goals
11%
15.2
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
6%
1/X
12%
X/1
11%
X/2
8%
X/X
10%
2/1
10%
2/2
11%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
57%
-10.2pp
28%
Draw
24%
+4.8pp
25%
Away Win
19%
+5.5pp
49%
Under 2.5
51%
-2.1pp
51%
Over 2.5
49%
+2.1pp
49%
BTTS Yes
49%
+0.0pp
51%
BTTS No
51%
-0.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Jaro EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY JIPPO EU Bookmakers 22%
-6% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +10%
1.97/1.12 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.85/1.04
-4% / -3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -24% / +77%
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
340 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 243 · 71%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.4 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Jaro
3W-0D-1L
AWAY JIPPO
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
4 Yellow Cards 2
29.06.2024 Jaro Jaro 1-0 HT 1-0 JIPPO JIPPO FİN2
28.04.2024 JIPPO JIPPO 2-0 HT 1-0 Jaro Jaro FİN2
22.08.2021 Jaro Jaro 1-0 HT 0-0 JIPPO JIPPO FİN2
13.06.2021 JIPPO JIPPO 0-2 HT 0-0 Jaro Jaro FİN2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Jaro
2-1
AWAY JIPPO
47% Ball Possession 53%
8 Total Shots 16
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 11
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Jaro vs JIPPO
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Jaro nicked a narrow win over JIPPO 2-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Jaro as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Jaro had 47% of the ball to JIPPO's 53%, shots finished 8-16.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Jaro had the better of it with 3 wins. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Jaro and 0.50 for JIPPO.

What was the final score of Jaro vs JIPPO?

Jaro 2-1 JIPPO in the Finland - Ykkönen on 22/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Jaro vs JIPPO?

Before kick-off our model rated a Jaro win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Jaro 47%, draw 28%, JIPPO 25%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Jaro), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Jaro) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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