JIPPO 2-0 Jaro — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Finland - Ykkönen, 28 Apr 2024

JIPPO
2-0 HT 1-0
Jaro
📅28/04/2024 · 🕒18:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
3.46
Draw
26%
3.28
Away
43%
1.96
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
1.8
Over 2.5
39%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
1.81
No
59%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
29%
3.08
2-3 Goals
46%
1.78
4-5 Goals
17%
3.8
6+ Goals
8%
16.4
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.08 — our 29% vs market 26.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
14%
X/2
14%
X/X
11%
2/1
7%
2/2
22%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
26%
+5.8pp
26%
Draw
27%
-1.5pp
43%
Away Win
47%
-4.3pp
61%
Under 2.5
52%
+9.7pp
39%
Over 2.5
48%
-9.7pp
41%
BTTS Yes
51%
-10.3pp
59%
BTTS No
49%
+10.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME JIPPO EU Bookmakers 29%
Head to Head
AWAY Jaro EU Bookmakers 51%
+5% / +9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -6%
1.14/1.13 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.40/0.98
-4% / +39% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -20% / +24%
51% Ball Possession 49%
10 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
255 · 70% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 388 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
4.0 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME JIPPO
0W-0D-2L
AWAY Jaro
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
44% Ball Possession 55%
6 Total Shots 8
2 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
1 Yellow Cards 3
22.08.2021 Jaro Jaro 1-0 HT 0-0 JIPPO JIPPO FİN2
13.06.2021 JIPPO JIPPO 0-2 HT 0-0 Jaro Jaro FİN2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME JIPPO
2-0
AWAY Jaro
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
2 Corners 3
POST-MATCH JIPPO vs Jaro
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

JIPPO saw off Jaro 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

Our pre-match lean was Jaro at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (61%), no to both teams scoring (59%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, JIPPO had 48% of the ball to Jaro's 52%, shots finished 10-12.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Jaro led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 0.00 goals for JIPPO and 1.50 for Jaro.

What was the final score of JIPPO vs Jaro?

JIPPO 2-0 Jaro in the Finland - Ykkönen on 28/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for JIPPO vs Jaro?

Before kick-off our model rated an Jaro win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split JIPPO 31%, draw 26%, Jaro 43%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Jaro) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Jaro) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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