PK-35 ry 1-5 KTP Kotka — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Finland - Ykkönen, 28 Apr 2024

📅28/04/2024 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.67
Draw
22%
3.45
Away
41%
2.24
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
2.1
Over 2.5
48%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.56
No
47%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
4.07
2-3 Goals
42%
1.85
4-5 Goals
24%
3.08
6+ Goals
8%
9.86
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
11%
1/X
7%
X/1
9%
X/2
15%
X/X
10%
2/1
6%
2/2
15%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
34%
+3.7pp
22%
Draw
26%
-3.7pp
41%
Away Win
41%
+0.1pp
52%
Under 2.5
44%
+7.9pp
48%
Over 2.5
56%
-8.0pp
53%
BTTS Yes
60%
-7.1pp
47%
BTTS No
40%
+7.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME PK-35 ry EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY KTP Kotka EU Bookmakers 45%
+5% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -2%
1.72/1.58 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.50/1.25
+27% / -14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +4% / -1%
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
293 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 329 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.6 Yellow Cards 3.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME PK-35 ry
1W-0D-2L
AWAY KTP Kotka
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 2.33
40% Ball Possession 60%
9 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 2
02.03.2024 KTP Kotka KTP Kotka 2-4 HT 0-1 PK-35 ry PK-35 ry FINYK
03.09.2022 PK-35 ry PK-35 ry 0-1 HT 0-0 KTP Kotka KTP Kotka FİN2
22.06.2022 KTP Kotka KTP Kotka 4-0 HT 1-0 PK-35 ry PK-35 ry FİN2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME PK-35 ry
1-5
AWAY KTP Kotka
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 10
9 Corners 3
POST-MATCH PK-35 ry vs KTP Kotka
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

KTP Kotka cruised past PK-35 ry 5-1 away from home. Half-time: 1-4. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

We called this one close before kick-off — 37% / 22% / 41% — and on the day KTP Kotka made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, PK-35 ry had 49% of the ball to KTP Kotka's 51%, shots finished 11-16.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, KTP Kotka led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for PK-35 ry and 2.33 for KTP Kotka.

What was the final score of PK-35 ry vs KTP Kotka?

PK-35 ry 1-5 KTP Kotka in the Finland - Ykkönen on 28/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for PK-35 ry vs KTP Kotka?

Before kick-off our model rated an KTP Kotka win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split PK-35 ry 37%, draw 22%, KTP Kotka 41%. The final score 1-5 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (KTP Kotka), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (KTP Kotka) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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