FCV 4-3 PKKU — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Finland - Ykkönen, 28 Apr 2024

FCV
4-3 HT 1-2
PKKU
📅28/04/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.38
Draw
28%
3.35
Away
35%
2.54
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.21
Over 2.5
54%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.5
No
46%
2.4
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
4.51
2-3 Goals
38%
1.9
4-5 Goals
28%
2.91
6+ Goals
10%
8.43
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
5%
X/2
10%
X/X
15%
2/1
11%
2/2
20%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
38%
-1.6pp
28%
Draw
26%
+1.9pp
35%
Away Win
36%
-0.3pp
46%
Under 2.5
41%
+4.6pp
54%
Over 2.5
59%
-4.6pp
54%
BTTS Yes
62%
-8.2pp
46%
BTTS No
38%
+8.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME FCV EU Bookmakers 42%
Head to Head
AWAY PKKU EU Bookmakers 39%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
322 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 381 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME FCV
1W-0D-1L
AWAY PKKU
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.50
28.10.2023 FCV 3-1 HT 1-1 PKKU PKKU FİNKAK
21.10.2023 PKKU PKKU 4-1 HT 0-0 FCV FİNKAK
POST-MATCH FCV vs PKKU
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

FCV nicked a narrow win over PKKU 4-3. It was 1-2 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 7 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

We called this one close before kick-off — 37% / 28% / 35% — and on the day FCV made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for FCV and 2.50 for PKKU.

What was the final score of FCV vs PKKU?

FCV 4-3 PKKU in the Finland - Ykkönen on 28/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for FCV vs PKKU?

Before kick-off our model rated a FCV win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split FCV 37%, draw 28%, PKKU 35%. The final score 4-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (FCV), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (FCV) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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FİN2 More Finland - Ykkönen
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