SalPa Salo 5-0 Mikkeli — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Finland - Ykkönen, 28 Apr 2024

📅28/04/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.12
Draw
26%
3.35
Away
31%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.95
Over 2.5
47%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.66
No
53%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
26%
3.61
2-3 Goals
41%
1.81
4-5 Goals
24%
3.34
6+ Goals
9%
12.1
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.61 — our 26% vs market 22.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
32%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
7%
X/2
9%
X/X
14%
2/1
4%
2/2
17%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
44%
-0.0pp
25%
Draw
27%
-1.1pp
31%
Away Win
30%
+1.3pp
53%
Under 2.5
48%
+5.4pp
47%
Over 2.5
52%
-5.4pp
47%
BTTS Yes
56%
-9.6pp
53%
BTTS No
44%
+9.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME SalPa Salo EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY Mikkeli EU Bookmakers 33%
-19% / -19% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +0%
1.59/1.57 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.21/1.39
+1% / -24% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -8% / +4%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
321 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 339 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME SalPa Salo
0W-1D-1L
AWAY Mikkeli
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
50% Ball Possession 50%
8 Total Shots 10
2 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 6
1 Yellow Cards 0
13.08.2023 Mikkeli Mikkeli 0-0 HT 0-0 SalPa Salo SalPa Salo FİN2
04.06.2023 SalPa Salo SalPa Salo 1-2 HT 0-1 Mikkeli Mikkeli FİN2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME SalPa Salo
5-0
AWAY Mikkeli
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 10
9 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 7
POST-MATCH SalPa Salo vs Mikkeli
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

SalPa Salo ran out comfortable winners over Mikkeli 5-0. Half-time: 3-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had SalPa Salo as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 5-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, SalPa Salo had 51% of the ball to Mikkeli's 49%, shots finished 12-10.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Mikkeli led the recent series with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for SalPa Salo and 1.00 for Mikkeli.

What was the final score of SalPa Salo vs Mikkeli?

SalPa Salo 5-0 Mikkeli in the Finland - Ykkönen on 28/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for SalPa Salo vs Mikkeli?

Before kick-off our model rated a SalPa Salo win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split SalPa Salo 43%, draw 25%, Mikkeli 31%. The final score 5-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (SalPa Salo), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (SalPa Salo) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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