KaPa 3-3 JaPS — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Finland - Ykkönen, 28 Apr 2024

KaPa
3-3 HT 2-2
JaPS
📅28/04/2024 · 🕒18:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.27
Draw
32%
3.45
Away
34%
2.54
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.21
Over 2.5
52%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.5
No
44%
2.4
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
4.44
2-3 Goals
41%
1.89
4-5 Goals
22%
2.92
6+ Goals
13%
8.62
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
7%
1/X
4%
X/1
11%
X/2
7%
X/X
15%
2/1
6%
2/2
20%
2/X
13%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
40%
-5.4pp
31%
Draw
25%
+6.3pp
34%
Away Win
35%
-0.9pp
48%
Under 2.5
41%
+6.7pp
52%
Over 2.5
59%
-6.7pp
56%
BTTS Yes
62%
-6.8pp
44%
BTTS No
38%
+6.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME KaPa EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY JaPS EU Bookmakers 39%
-5% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -1%
2.32/1.32 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.32/1.62
+64% / -2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -5% / -20%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
324 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 349 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.5 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME KaPa
1W-2D-3L
AWAY JaPS
2.17 Avg Goals (FT) 2.67
53% Ball Possession 47%
11 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 8
4 Corners 6
1 Yellow Cards 3
16.09.2023 JaPS JaPS 2-1 HT 1-1 KaPa KaPa FINY
02.09.2023 JaPS JaPS 4-4 HT 2-3 KaPa KaPa FİN2
17.06.2023 KaPa KaPa 3-1 HT 0-1 JaPS JaPS FİN2
27.08.2021 JaPS JaPS 5-2 HT 2-1 KaPa KaPa FİNKAK
13.06.2021 KaPa KaPa 1-2 HT 1-1 JaPS JaPS FİNKAK
19.07.2015 JaPS JaPS 2-2 HT 2-0 KaPa KaPa FİNKAK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME KaPa
3-3
AWAY JaPS
53% Ball Possession 47%
11 Total Shots 15
6 Shots on Target 9
3 Corners 5
POST-MATCH KaPa vs JaPS
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

KaPa and JaPS shared the points in a 3-3 draw. Half-time: 2-2. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

We called this one close before kick-off — 34% / 31% / 34% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. The goals side of the card held up too — both teams to score (56%) came in.

On the day, KaPa had 53% of the ball to JaPS's 47%, shots finished 11-15.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, JaPS led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.17 goals for KaPa and 2.67 for JaPS.

What was the final score of KaPa vs JaPS?

KaPa 3-3 JaPS in the Finland - Ykkönen on 28/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for KaPa vs JaPS?

Before kick-off our model rated a KaPa win the most likely single outcome at about 34%, with the full match-result split KaPa 34%, draw 31%, JaPS 34%. The final score 3-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (34/31/34) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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